American · 4-2 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1
North Texas Mean Green
HC Neal Brown (1st yr) · OC — · DC Matt Powledge
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
Power rating6.333rd
CFP odds8%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.4of 12
Fan pulse—22 of 30 scored
American · 4-2 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1
North Texas
Mean Green · HC Neal Brown (1st yr) · starts in 12 (5 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating6.333rd
CFP odds · outlook8%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.4of 12
Fan pulse—22 of 30 scored
North Texas
4-2 · 2-0 American
POWER RATING6.333rd in FBS
CFP ODDS8%no change
PROJ. WINS8.4of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 8% in sims · CCG 73% · title 46%
FAN PULSE—22 of 30 scored
RECORD4-2
ATS · O/U4-2 · 5-1
POSTGAME WE · AVG62%3.7 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1334th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Indianaat Indiana | L16–52 | +40+40 | W | −0.44 | 38% | 50% | 1% | O 57 | — | |
EPA −0.44 · SR 38% · O 57WE 1% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   UNLVUNLV | W44–6 | +3+3 | W | +0.64 | 47% | 33% | 99% | U 58.5 | — | |
EPA +0.64 · SR 47% · U 58.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Texas Stateat Texas State | L35–49 | +3+3 | L | −0.27 | 52% | 59% | 25% | O 62.5 | — | |
EPA −0.27 · SR 52% · O 62.5WE 25% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   Houston ChristianHouston Christian | W63–14 | −38.5−38.5 | W | +1.02 | 81% | 41% | 100% | O 60.5 | — | |
EPA +1.02 · SR 81% · O 60.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Tulsaat Tulsa | W45–44 | −2−2 | L | +0.08 | 41% | 42% | 50% | O 57 | — | |
EPA +0.08 · SR 41% · O 57WE 50% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   CharlotteCharlotte | W50–10 | −27.5−27.5 | W | +0.91 | 53% | 32% | 99% | O 58.5 | — | |
EPA +0.91 · SR 53% · O 58.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Navyat NavyNEXT | SAT 3:30 CBSSNSAT 3:30 | −3−3 | — | — | — | — | 59% | 62.5 | −4 | |
MODEL −4 · TOTAL 62.5WP 59% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic | OCT 29OCT 29 | —−13.3 | 79% | −13.3 | ||||||
MODEL −13.3WP 79% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   RiceRice | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−21.9 | 91% | −21.9 | ||||||
MODEL −21.9WP 91% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at UTSAat UTSA | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−4.9 | 62% | −4.9 | ||||||
MODEL −4.9WP 62% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Tulaneat Tulane | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−6 | 64% | −6 | ||||||
MODEL −6WP 64% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   UABUAB | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−17.2 | 85% | −17.2 | ||||||
MODEL −17.2WP 85% | |||||||||||