American · 4-2 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1
North Texas Mean Green
HC Neal Brown (1st yr) · OC — · DC Matt Powledge
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
American · 4-2 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1
North Texas
Mean Green · HC Neal Brown (1st yr) · starts in 12 (5 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
North Texas
4-2 · 2-0 American
2 losses now · CFP 8% in sims · CCG 73% · title 46%
Latest from the beat
NORTH TEXAS · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Indianaat Indiana | L16–52 | +40+40 | W | −0.44 | 38% | 50% | 1% | 67 | 34.7 | |
| 2 |   UNLVUNLV | W44–6 | +3+3 | W | +0.64 | 47% | 33% | 99% | 66 | 28.5 | |
| 3 |   at Texas Stateat Texas State | L35–49 | +3+3 | L | −0.27 | 52% | 59% | 25% | 85 | 23.8 | |
| 4 |   Houston ChristianHouston Christian | W63–14 | −38.5−38.5 | W | +1.02 | 81% | 41% | 100% | 64 | 28.2 | |
| 5 |   at Tulsaat Tulsa | W45–44 | −2−2 | L | +0.08 | 41% | 42% | 50% | 83 | 27.6 | |
| 6 |   CharlotteCharlotte | W50–10 | −27.5−27.5 | W | +0.91 | 53% | 32% | 99% | 70 | 27.9 | |
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Navyat NavyNEXT | SAT 3:30 CBSSNSAT 3:30 | −3−3 | — | — | — | — | 59% | 137 | — | |
| 9 |   Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic | OCT 29OCT 29 | −13.3 proj−13.3 | 79% | |||||||
| 10 |   RiceRice | NOV 7NOV 7 | −21.9 proj−21.9 | 91% | |||||||
| 11 |   at UTSAat UTSA | NOV 14NOV 14 | −4.9 proj−4.9 | 62% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Tulaneat Tulane | NOV 21NOV 21 | −6 proj−6 | 64% | |||||||
| 13 |   UABUAB | NOV 28NOV 28 | −17.2 proj−17.2 | 85% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 333 OF 338 PLAYS333 OF 338 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun96% | 96% | 56% | +0.28 | 48% |
| Under center4% | 4% | 42% | +0.87 | 67% |
| No-huddle63% | 63% | 55% | +0.34 | 54% |
| Huddle37% | 37% | 57% | +0.22 | 39% |
In shotgun on 96 % of tagged snaps, passing 56 % of the time (+0.28 EPA a play; +0.87 under center). No-huddle on 63 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 5 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 5).
Next game
SAT 3:30 CBSSN · NAVY-MARINE CORPS MEMORIAL STADIUMSAT 3:30 CBSSN
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American crews−0.8 to +0.1 · 36 games | −0.4 | −0.8 to +0.1 | 36 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews−0.5 to +0.7 · 13 games | +0.1 | −0.5 to +0.7 | 13 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 3 games | +2.7 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 2 games | +1.2 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 1 game | −1.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 1 game | +2.3 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 1 game | −0.3 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 1 game | +3.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on North Texas than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on North Texas than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | North TexasUNT | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.25 | 6th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 46.6% | 22nd | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.44 | 1st | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.12 | 37th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.35 | 4th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 32.2% | 45th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.25 | 64th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 1.1% | 5th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50% | 18th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.97 | 26th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 72% | 28th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 26.9 | 46th | 28.0 |