Independents · #4 AP · 6-1 · 0-0 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
HC Marcus Freeman (5th yr) · OC Mike Denbrock · DC Chris Ash
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating22.41st
CFP odds97%—
PLAYOFFIN→LOCK
Proj. wins10.4of 12
Fan pulse−16▼23
Independents · #4 AP · 6-1 · 0-0 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish · HC Marcus Freeman (5th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating22.41st
CFP odds97%—
Proj. wins10.4of 12
Fan pulse−16▼23
Notre Dame
#4 · 6-1 · 0-0 Independents
POWER RATING22.41st in FBS
CFP ODDS97%no change
PROJ. WINS10.4of 12 games
Fan sentiment
NET −100 TO +100 · WEEKLYNET SENTIMENT −100 TO +100 · WEEKLY · 2026FANSHAVOC MODEL EXPECTATIONUNDER 30 SCORED POSTS · NO SCOREEVENTPOSTS / WEEK
FANSMODELUNDER 30 SCOREDEVENTPOSTS
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · WIS | no score (too few posts) | — | 1,499 | — |
| WK 2 · RICE | no score (too few posts) | — | 20 | — |
| WK 3 · MSU | +9 | — | 460 | — |
| WK 4 · @PUR | +13 | — | 166 | — |
| WK 5 · @UNC | no score (too few posts) | — | 36 | — |
| WK 6 · STAN | +11 | +84 | 1,635 | — |
| WK 7 · @BYU | +7 | +73 | 15,406 | Leonard Moore out (concussion), no cover |
| WK 8 | −16 | +73 | 2,575 so far | — |
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · WIS | no score (too few posts) | — | 1,499 | — |
| WK 2 · RICE | no score (too few posts) | — | 20 | — |
| WK 3 · MSU | +9 | — | 460 | — |
| WK 4 · @PUR | +13 | — | 166 | — |
| WK 5 · @UNC | no score (too few posts) | — | 36 | — |
| WK 6 · STAN | +11 | +84 | 1,635 | — |
| WK 7 · @BYU | +7 | +73 | 15,406 | Leonard Moore out (concussion), no cover |
| WK 8 | −16 | +73 | 2,575 so far | — |
- 1INJURY · WK 7Leonard Moore out (concussion), no cover
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · WIS | no score (too few posts) | — | 1,499 | — |
| WK 2 · RICE | no score (too few posts) | — | 20 | — |
| WK 3 · MSU | +9 | — | 460 | — |
| WK 4 · @PUR | +13 | — | 166 | — |
| WK 5 · @UNC | no score (too few posts) | — | 36 | — |
| WK 6 · STAN | +11 | +84 | 1,635 | — |
| WK 7 · @BYU | +7 | +73 | 15,406 | Leonard Moore out (concussion), no cover |
| WK 8 | −16 | +73 | 2,575 so far | — |
NET SENTIMENT = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 21,797 SINCE WK 1 · REDDIT 97% · FORUM 2% · BLUESKY 1% · RSS 0%
MODEL EXPECTATION = MOOD IMPLIED BY POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
NET = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 21,797 SINCE WK 1 · REDDIT 97% · FORUM 2% · BLUESKY 1% · RSS 0%
MODEL EXPECTATION = MOOD IMPLIED BY POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
n 21,797 POSTS SINCE WK 1 · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
REDDIT 97% · FORUM 2% · BLUESKY 1% · RSS 0%
MODEL = MOOD IMPLIED BY POWER RATING + CFP ODDS
Fan pulse
WK 8 · SO FAR−16▼ 23 vs wk 7
Model expects+73
−100 GLOOMY0EUPHORIC +100
Fans 89 pts gloomier than the model
Notre Dame is 6-1 after a 4-point loss to BYU. The mood fell after the BYU non-cover and Moore’s concussion.
Notre Dame is 6-1 after a 4-point loss to BYU. The mood fell after the BYU non-cover and Moore’s concussion.
Where this week’s posts come from | Mood | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| r/notredamefootball | 96% | −27 | |
| Irish Envy Notre Dame Football board | 2% | +9 | |
| One Foot Down | 1% | −5 | |
| Irish Envy Notre Dame Game Day board | 0% | +2 | |
| r/notredame | 0% | — | |
| Notre Dame Football Discord | 0% | — |
Who covers Notre Dame
19 SOURCES · GRADED19 SOURCES · GRADED AGAINST OFFICIAL REPORTSReporter | Reporter | Links | Tier | Hit rate | First | Lead | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MF Marcus Freeman weekly press conferenceofficial Notre Dame Athletics · Team officialfightingirish.com/sports/football/news/· PDF · last — source of truth · reference for grading | MF Marcus Freeman weekly press conferenceNotre Dame Athletics · Team officialNotre Dame Athletics ·fightingirish.com/sports/football/news/ | fightingirish.com/sports/football/news/PDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
ND Notre Dame Footballofficial Notre Dame Athletics · Team officialfightingirish.com/sports/football/news/· PDF · last — source of truth · reference for grading | ND Notre Dame FootballNotre Dame Athletics · Team officialNotre Dame Athletics ·fightingirish.com/sports/football/news/ | fightingirish.com/sports/football/news/PDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
ND Notre Dame football news (Freeman pressers)official fightingirish.com · Team officialfightingirish.com/sports/football/news/· PDF · last — source of truth · reference for grading | ND Notre Dame football news (Freeman pressers)fightingirish.com · Team officialfightingirish.com ·fightingirish.com/sports/football/news/ | fightingirish.com/sports/football/news/PDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
CS Colin Schofieldreported Pharos-Tribune · Beat writersports.yahoo.com/articles/avoid-trap-know-notre-dame-035900467.html· last — source of truth · reference for grading | CS Colin SchofieldPharos-Tribune · Beat writerPharos-Tribune ·sports.yahoo.com/articles/avoid-trap-know-notre-dame-035900467.html | sports.yahoo.com/articles/avoid-trap-know-notre-dame-035900467.htmlSite | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
MB Mike Berardinoreported South Bend Tribune / NDInsider · Beat writertunein.com/podcasts/p2118305· last — source of truth · reference for grading | MB Mike BerardinoSouth Bend Tribune / NDInsider · Beat writerSouth Bend Tribune / NDInsider ·tunein.com/podcasts/p2118305 | tunein.com/podcasts/p2118305Site | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
PS Pete Sampsonreported The Athletic · Beat writer@petesampson.bsky.social· last — source of truth · reference for grading | PS Pete SampsonThe Athletic · Beat writerThe Athletic ·@petesampson.bsky.social | @petesampson.bsky.socialBluesky | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
TH Tim Healeyreported Fighting Irish Wire · Beat writer@tehealey· last — source of truth · reference for grading | TH Tim HealeyFighting Irish Wire · Beat writerFighting Irish Wire ·@tehealey | @tehealeySite | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
TN Tom Noiereported South Bend Tribune · Beat writer@tomnoie.bsky.social· last — source of truth · reference for grading | TN Tom NoieSouth Bend Tribune · Beat writerSouth Bend Tribune ·@tomnoie.bsky.social | @tomnoie.bsky.socialBluesky | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
DM Drew Mentockrumor Irish Illustrated (247Sports) · Insider@AndrewMentock· last — source of truth · reference for grading | DM Drew MentockIrish Illustrated (247Sports) · InsiderIrish Illustrated (247Sports) ·@AndrewMentock | @AndrewMentockBluesky | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
EH Eric Hansenrumor Blue & Gold (On3) · Insider@erichansennd.bsky.social· last 20h source of truth · reference for grading | EH Eric HansenBlue & Gold (On3) · InsiderBlue & Gold (On3) ·@erichansennd.bsky.social | @erichansennd.bsky.socialBluesky | rumor | source of truth | — | — | 20h |
II Irish Illustratedrumor Irish Illustrated (247Sports) · Insider@irishillustrated.bsky.social· last — source of truth · reference for grading | II Irish IllustratedIrish Illustrated (247Sports) · InsiderIrish Illustrated (247Sports) ·@irishillustrated.bsky.social | @irishillustrated.bsky.socialBluesky | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
IS Irish Sports Dailyrumor Irish Sports Daily · Insider@isdupdate· last — source of truth · reference for grading | IS Irish Sports DailyIrish Sports Daily · InsiderIrish Sports Daily ·@isdupdate | @isdupdateSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
JF Jack Freemanrumor Irish Illustrated (247Sports) · Insider@jfreeman58· last — source of truth · reference for grading | JF Jack FreemanIrish Illustrated (247Sports) · InsiderIrish Illustrated (247Sports) ·@jfreeman58 | @jfreeman58Site | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
JS Jack Soblerumor Blue & Gold (On3) · Insiderwww.on3.com/teams/notre-dame-fighting-irish/page/staff· last — source of truth · reference for grading | JS Jack SobleBlue & Gold (On3) · InsiderBlue & Gold (On3) ·www.on3.com/teams/notre-dame-fighting-irish/page/staff | www.on3.com/teams/notre-dame-fighting-irish/page/staffSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
MF Matt Freemanrumor Irish Sports Daily · Insideririshsportsdaily.com/t/12098/matt-freeman· last — source of truth · reference for grading | MF Matt FreemanIrish Sports Daily · InsiderIrish Sports Daily ·irishsportsdaily.com/t/12098/matt-freeman | irishsportsdaily.com/t/12098/matt-freemanSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
TO Tim O'Malleyrumor Irish Illustrated (247Sports) · Insider@timomalleyND· last — source of truth · reference for grading | TO Tim O'MalleyIrish Illustrated (247Sports) · InsiderIrish Illustrated (247Sports) ·@timomalleyND | @timomalleyNDSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
TP Tim Pristerrumor Irish Illustrated (247Sports) · Insider@timprister· last — source of truth · reference for grading | TP Tim PristerIrish Illustrated (247Sports) · InsiderIrish Illustrated (247Sports) ·@timprister | @timpristerSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
TH Tyler Horkarumor Blue & Gold (On3) · Insiderwww.on3.com/teams/notre-dame-fighting-irish/page/staff· last — source of truth · reference for grading | TH Tyler HorkaBlue & Gold (On3) · InsiderBlue & Gold (On3) ·www.on3.com/teams/notre-dame-fighting-irish/page/staff | www.on3.com/teams/notre-dame-fighting-irish/page/staffSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
TJ Tyler Jamesrumor Blue & Gold (On3) · Insiderwww.on3.com/teams/notre-dame-fighting-irish/page/staff· last — source of truth · reference for grading | TJ Tyler JamesBlue & Gold (On3) · InsiderBlue & Gold (On3) ·www.on3.com/teams/notre-dame-fighting-irish/page/staff | www.on3.com/teams/notre-dame-fighting-irish/page/staffSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
HIT RATE = CLAIMS LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT OR BOX-SCORE PARTICIPATIONHIT = LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT
FIRST = SHARE OF CONFIRMED CLAIMS THEY BROKE · LEAD = MEDIAN HOURS AHEAD OF THE OFFICIAL REPORTFIRST = SHARE THEY BROKE · LEAD = HOURS AHEAD
NEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR · REPORTED AT ≥ 75% OVER 8 GRADED CLAIMSNEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR
Latest from the beat
LAST 72 H · 0 CLAIMSNo claims in this window.
How a tip becomes a status
- 1A free source posts a tipForum, Reddit, Bluesky or RSS. “The starting QB missed practice.”
- 2One targeted X checkfrom:[Notre Dame writers] · last 72 h
- 3A cited status, graded laterShown next to the official one. Scored against the next report.
- official
- Conference report or team statement. The status of record.
- reported
- Writer with a proven record. Shown beside official, cited.
- rumor
- New, fan or unproven. Feed only until confirmed.
Fan sources
13 SOURCES · TIPS + PULSE13 SOURCES · TIPS AND FAN PULSESource | Source | Size | Posts / wk | Mood | Tier | Used for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
r/ r/notredamefootballrumor Subreddit · Reddit—2,478/ wkmood−27 | r/ r/notredamefootballSubreddit · Reddit | — | 2,478 | −27 | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
F Irish Envy Notre Dame Football boardrumor Forum · Irish Envy—46/ wkmood+9 | F Irish Envy Notre Dame Football boardForum · Irish Envy | — | 46 | +9 | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
B One Foot Downrumor Team blog · SB Nation527 followers12/ wkmood−5 | B One Foot DownTeam blog · SB Nation | 527 followers | 12 | −5 | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
F Irish Envy Notre Dame Game Day boardrumor Forum · Irish Envy—10/ wkmood+2 | F Irish Envy Notre Dame Game Day boardForum · Irish Envy | — | 10 | +2 | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
r/ r/notredamerumor Subreddit · Reddit—9/ wkmood— | r/ r/notredameSubreddit · Reddit | — | 9 | — | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
RSS Fighting Irish Previewrumor Team blog · fightingirishpreview.com—6/ wkmood+2 | RSS Fighting Irish PreviewTeam blog · fightingirishpreview.com | — | 6 | +2 | rumor | TIPS |
B Notre Dame Football Discordrumor Fan account · Bluesky1.7k followers1/ wkmood— | B Notre Dame Football DiscordFan account · Bluesky | 1.7k followers | 1 | — | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
W Notre Dame Fighting Irishofficial YouTube · Notre Dame Athletics——mood— | W Notre Dame Fighting IrishYouTube · Notre Dame Athletics | — | — | — | official | TIPS |
RSS NDNation front pagerumor Team blog · NDNation——mood— | RSS NDNation front pageTeam blog · NDNation | — | — | — | rumor | TIPS |
W Notre Dame Football on Blue & Goldrumor YouTube · Blue & Gold (On3)——mood— | W Notre Dame Football on Blue & GoldYouTube · Blue & Gold (On3) | — | — | — | rumor | TIPS |
W Notre Dame Football on IrishSportsDailyrumor YouTube · Irish Sports Daily——mood— | W Notre Dame Football on IrishSportsDailyYouTube · Irish Sports Daily | — | — | — | rumor | TIPS |
W Notre Dame On SIrumor Team blog · On SI——mood— | W Notre Dame On SITeam blog · On SI | — | — | — | rumor | TIPS |
F Rock's House (NDNation football board)rumor Forum · NDNation——mood— | F Rock's House (NDNation football board)Forum · NDNation | — | — | — | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |