Independents · #4 AP · 6-1 · 0-0 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
HC Marcus Freeman (5th yr) · OC Mike Denbrock · DC Chris Ash
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating22.31st
CFP odds97%—
PLAYOFFIN→LOCK
Proj. wins10.4of 12
Fan pulse−17▼24
Independents · #4 AP · 6-1 · 0-0 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish · HC Marcus Freeman (5th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating22.31st
CFP odds · outlook97%—IN→LOCK
Proj. wins10.4of 12
Fan pulse−17▼24
Notre Dame
#4 · 6-1 · 0-0 Independents
POWER RATING22.31st in FBS
CFP ODDS97%no change
PROJ. WINS10.4of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→LOCK
1 loss now · CFP 97% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE−17▼24
90 pts below the model ·Coverage →
RECORD6-1
ATS · O/U4-3 · 5-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG84%5.9 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.391st FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   vs Wisconsin · Greenbayvs Wisconsin | W41–13 | −21−21 | W | +0.44 | 47% | 32% | 97% | O 46 | — | |
EPA +0.44 · SR 47% · O 46WE 97% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   RiceRice | W52–0 | −45−45 | W | +1.68 | 69% | 8% | 100% | U 54.5 | — | |
EPA +1.68 · SR 69% · U 54.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Michigan StateMichigan State | W27–10 | −29−29 | L | +0.43 | 52% | 35% | 90% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.43 · SR 52% · U 51.5WE 90% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Purdueat Purdue | W49–10 | −27.5−27.5 | W | +0.62 | 68% | 39% | 95% | O 57.5 | — | |
EPA +0.62 · SR 68% · O 57.5WE 95% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at North Carolinaat North Carolina | W37–26 | −21−21 | L | +0.23 | 57% | 37% | 82% | O 46.5 | — | |
EPA +0.23 · SR 57% · O 46.5WE 82% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   StanfordStanford | W58–7 | −40.5−40.5 | W | +1.33 | 48% | 19% | 100% | O 55.5 | — | |
EPA +1.33 · SR 48% · O 55.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at BYUat BYU | L24–28 | −10.5−10.5 | L | −0.20 | 38% | 48% | 25% | O 47.5 | — | |
EPA −0.20 · SR 38% · O 47.5WE 25% | |||||||||||
| 8 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 9 |   vs Navy · Foxboroughvs NavyNEXT | SAT 12:00SAT 12:00 | −28.5−28.5 | — | — | — | — | 92% | 53.5 | −23 | |
MODEL −23 · TOTAL 53.5WP 92% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   MiamiMiami | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−6.5 | 65% | −6.5 | ||||||
MODEL −6.5WP 65% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   Boston CollegeBoston College | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−30.6 | 97% | −30.6 | ||||||
MODEL −30.6WP 97% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   SMUSMU | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−19.4 | 88% | −19.4 | ||||||
MODEL −19.4WP 88% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Syracuseat Syracuse | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−25.6 | 94% | −25.6 | ||||||
MODEL −25.6WP 94% | |||||||||||