Big Ten · 3-4 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 1-4
Penn State Nittany Lions
HC Matt Campbell (1st yr) · OC Taylor Mouser · DC D'Anton Lynn
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (5 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 85%
Power rating5.937th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins6.5of 12
Fan pulse−15▲15
Big Ten · 3-4 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 1-4
Penn State
Nittany Lions · HC Matt Campbell (1st yr) · starts in 12 (5 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating5.937th
CFP odds0%—
Proj. wins6.5of 12
Fan pulse−15▲15
Penn State
3-4 · 0-4 Big Ten
POWER RATING5.937th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.5of 12 games
Fan sentiment
NET −100 TO +100 · WEEKLYNET SENTIMENT −100 TO +100 · WEEKLY · 2026FANSHAVOC MODEL EXPECTATIONUNDER 30 SCORED POSTS · NO SCOREEVENTPOSTS / WEEK
FANSMODELUNDER 30 SCOREDEVENTPOSTS
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · MRSH | no score (too few posts) | — | 209 | — |
| WK 2 · @TEM | no score (too few posts) | — | 13 | — |
| WK 3 · BUFF | no score (too few posts) | — | 7 | — |
| WK 4 · WIS | no score (too few posts) | — | 11 | — |
| WK 5 · @NU | no score (too few posts) | — | 7 | — |
| WK 6 · USC | −44 | +16 | 223 | — |
| WK 7 · @MICH | −30 | +8 | 265 | Koby Howard out (game) |
| WK 8 | −15 | +8 | 52 so far | — |
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · MRSH | no score (too few posts) | — | 209 | — |
| WK 2 · @TEM | no score (too few posts) | — | 13 | — |
| WK 3 · BUFF | no score (too few posts) | — | 7 | — |
| WK 4 · WIS | no score (too few posts) | — | 11 | — |
| WK 5 · @NU | no score (too few posts) | — | 7 | — |
| WK 6 · USC | −44 | +16 | 223 | — |
| WK 7 · @MICH | −30 | +8 | 265 | Koby Howard out (game) |
| WK 8 | −15 | +8 | 52 so far | — |
- 1INJURY · WK 7Koby Howard out (game)
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · MRSH | no score (too few posts) | — | 209 | — |
| WK 2 · @TEM | no score (too few posts) | — | 13 | — |
| WK 3 · BUFF | no score (too few posts) | — | 7 | — |
| WK 4 · WIS | no score (too few posts) | — | 11 | — |
| WK 5 · @NU | no score (too few posts) | — | 7 | — |
| WK 6 · USC | −44 | +16 | 223 | — |
| WK 7 · @MICH | −30 | +8 | 265 | Koby Howard out (game) |
| WK 8 | −15 | +8 | 52 so far | — |
NET SENTIMENT = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 787 SINCE WK 1 · RSS 81% · REDDIT 17% · BLUESKY 2%
MODEL EXPECTATION = MOOD IMPLIED BY POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
NET = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 787 SINCE WK 1 · RSS 81% · REDDIT 17% · BLUESKY 2%
MODEL EXPECTATION = MOOD IMPLIED BY POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
n 787 POSTS SINCE WK 1 · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
RSS 81% · REDDIT 17% · BLUESKY 2%
MODEL = MOOD IMPLIED BY POWER RATING + CFP ODDS
Fan pulse
WK 8 · SO FAR−15▲ 15 vs wk 7
Model expects+8
−100 GLOOMY0EUPHORIC +100
Fans 23 pts gloomier than the model
Penn State is 3-4 after a 3-point loss to Michigan. The mood rose after the Michigan cover and Howard’s injury.
Penn State is 3-4 after a 3-point loss to Michigan. The mood rose after the Michigan cover and Howard’s injury.
Where this week’s posts come from | Mood | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| r/PennStateUniversity | 4% | −5 | |
| Roar Lions Roar | 2% | +5 |
Who covers Penn State
12 SOURCES · GRADED12 SOURCES · GRADED AGAINST OFFICIAL REPORTSReporter | Reporter | Links | Tier | Hit rate | First | Lead | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PS Penn State Footballofficial Penn State Athletics · Team officialgopsusports.com/sports/football· PDF · last — source of truth · reference for grading | PS Penn State FootballPenn State Athletics · Team officialPenn State Athletics ·gopsusports.com/sports/football | gopsusports.com/sports/footballPDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
PS Penn State football weekly press conference transcript (Matt Campbell)official gopsusports.com · Team officialgopsusports.com/sports/football/news· PDF · last — source of truth · reference for grading | PS Penn State football weekly press conference transcript (Matt Campbell)gopsusports.com · Team officialgopsusports.com ·gopsusports.com/sports/football/news | gopsusports.com/sports/football/newsPDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
AS Audrey Snyderreported Inside the Lions (Substack) · Beat writer@audsnyder4· last — source of truth · reference for grading | AS Audrey SnyderInside the Lions (Substack) · Beat writerInside the Lions (Substack) ·@audsnyder4 | @audsnyder4Site | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
JS Jon Sauberreported Centre Daily Times · Beat writer@jonsauber.bsky.social· last 2d source of truth · reference for grading | JS Jon SauberCentre Daily Times · Beat writerCentre Daily Times ·@jonsauber.bsky.social | @jonsauber.bsky.socialBluesky | reported | source of truth | — | — | 2d |
KG Kyle Golikreported Nittany Sports Now · Beat writer@kylegolikfb· last — source of truth · reference for grading | KG Kyle GolikNittany Sports Now · Beat writerNittany Sports Now ·@kylegolikfb | @kylegolikfbSite | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
MW Mark Wogenrichreported Penn State on SI · Beat writer@MarkWogenrich· last — source of truth · reference for grading | MW Mark WogenrichPenn State on SI · Beat writerPenn State on SI ·@MarkWogenrich | @MarkWogenrichSite | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
RS Rich Scarcellareported Reading Eagle · Beat writer@nittanyrich.bsky.social· last — source of truth · reference for grading | RS Rich ScarcellaReading Eagle · Beat writerReading Eagle ·@nittanyrich.bsky.social | @nittanyrich.bsky.socialBluesky | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
SW Sam Wolosonreported The Daily Collegian / Penn State on SI · Beat writer@sam_woloson· last — source of truth · reference for grading | SW Sam WolosonThe Daily Collegian / Penn State on SI · Beat writerThe Daily Collegian / Penn State on SI ·@sam_woloson | @sam_wolosonSite | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
AS Audrey Snyderrumor Inside the Lions (Substack) · Newsletter@audreysnyder.bsky.social· last 11h source of truth · reference for grading | AS Audrey SnyderInside the Lions (Substack) · NewsletterInside the Lions (Substack) ·@audreysnyder.bsky.social | @audreysnyder.bsky.socialBluesky | rumor | source of truth | — | — | 11h |
DG Daniel Gallenrumor Lions247 (247Sports) · Insider@danieljtgallen· last — source of truth · reference for grading | DG Daniel GallenLions247 (247Sports) · InsiderLions247 (247Sports) ·@danieljtgallen | @danieljtgallenSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
MB Mark Brennanrumor Lions247 (247Sports) · Insider@MarkXBrennan· last — source of truth · reference for grading | MB Mark BrennanLions247 (247Sports) · InsiderLions247 (247Sports) ·@MarkXBrennan | @MarkXBrennanSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
TD Tyler Donohuerumor Lions247 (247Sports) · Insider@TDsTake· last — source of truth · reference for grading | TD Tyler DonohueLions247 (247Sports) · InsiderLions247 (247Sports) ·@TDsTake | @TDsTakeSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
HIT RATE = CLAIMS LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT OR BOX-SCORE PARTICIPATIONHIT = LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT
FIRST = SHARE OF CONFIRMED CLAIMS THEY BROKE · LEAD = MEDIAN HOURS AHEAD OF THE OFFICIAL REPORTFIRST = SHARE THEY BROKE · LEAD = HOURS AHEAD
NEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR · REPORTED AT ≥ 75% OVER 8 GRADED CLAIMSNEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR
Latest from the beat
LAST 72 H · 0 CLAIMSNo claims in this window.
How a tip becomes a status
- 1A free source posts a tipForum, Reddit, Bluesky or RSS. “The starting QB missed practice.”
- 2One targeted X checkfrom:[Penn State writers] · last 72 h
- 3A cited status, graded laterShown next to the official one. Scored against the next report.
- official
- Conference report or team statement. The status of record.
- reported
- Writer with a proven record. Shown beside official, cited.
- rumor
- New, fan or unproven. Feed only until confirmed.
Fan sources
7 SOURCES · TIPS + PULSE7 SOURCES · TIPS AND FAN PULSESource | Source | Size | Posts / wk | Mood | Tier | Used for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RSS Nittany Sports Nowrumor Team blog · Nittany Sports Now (independent)—27/ wkmood−13 | RSS Nittany Sports NowTeam blog · Nittany Sports Now (independent) | — | 27 | −13 | rumor | TIPS |
RSS Onward State footballrumor Team blog · Onward State (PSU student blog)—16/ wkmood−20 | RSS Onward State footballTeam blog · Onward State (PSU student blog) | — | 16 | −20 | rumor | TIPS |
r/ r/PennStateUniversityrumor Subreddit · Reddit—2/ wkmood−5 | r/ r/PennStateUniversitySubreddit · Reddit | — | 2 | −5 | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
B Roar Lions Roarrumor Fan account · Roar Lions Roar (podcast)700 followers1/ wkmood+5 | B Roar Lions RoarFan account · Roar Lions Roar (podcast) | 700 followers | 1 | +5 | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
W Penn State Athleticsofficial YouTube · Penn State Athletics——mood— | W Penn State AthleticsYouTube · Penn State Athletics | — | — | — | official | TIPS |
W Black Shoe Diariesrumor Team blog · SB Nation——mood— | W Black Shoe DiariesTeam blog · SB Nation | — | — | — | rumor | TIPS |
B Kevin McGuirerumor Team blog · Nittany Lions Wire (USA TODAY Network)409 followers—mood— | B Kevin McGuireTeam blog · Nittany Lions Wire (USA TODAY Network) | 409 followers | — | — | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |