Sun Belt · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
South Alabama Jaguars
HC Major Applewhite (3rd yr) · OC — · DC Todd Orlando
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
Sun Belt · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
South Alabama
Jaguars · HC Major Applewhite (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 7) · base D 3-3-5
South Alabama
4-3 · 2-1 Sun Belt
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 12% · title 2%
Latest from the beat
SOUTH ALABAMA · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   SE LouisianaSE Louisiana | W39–14 | −14−14 | W | +0.21 | 39% | 38% | 92% | 85 | 16.0 | |
| 2 |   at Tulaneat Tulane | L24–28 | +9.5+9.5 | W | −0.14 | 47% | 40% | 40% | 72 | 29.7 | |
| 3 |   OhioOhio | W41–36 | −7−7 | L | +0.24 | 44% | 47% | 73% | 70 | 30.1 | |
| 4 |   at Kentuckyat Kentucky | L21–45 | +20.5+20.5 | L | −0.41 | 33% | 60% | 11% | 74 | 24.0 | |
| 5 |   UL MonroeUL Monroe | W52–35 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.31 | 52% | 46% | 81% | 65 | 30.4 | |
| 6 |   at Arkansas Stateat Arkansas State | W56–49 | +3+3 | W | +0.12 | 49% | 64% | 64% | 57 | 31.5 | |
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Marshallat Marshall | L13–20 | −1.5−1.5 | L | −0.25 | 36% | 49% | 23% | 75 | 23.6 | |
| 9 |   Louisiana TechLouisiana TechNEXT | SAT 3:00 ESPN+SAT 3:00 | +3.9 proj+3.9 | — | — | — | — | 41% | — | — | |
| 10 |   at Louisianaat Louisiana | NOV 7NOV 7 | +7.8 proj+7.8 | 32% | |||||||
| 11 |   TroyTroy | NOV 14NOV 14 | −3.3 proj−3.3 | 58% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Southern Missat Southern Miss | NOV 21NOV 21 | −2.3 proj−2.3 | 56% | |||||||
| 13 |   App StateApp State | NOV 27NOV 27 | +1 proj+1 | 48% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 460 OF 469 PLAYS460 OF 469 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun100% | 100% | 38% | +0.15 | 42% |
| Under center0% | 0% | 0% | +4.48 | 100% |
| No-huddle91% | 91% | 39% | +0.18 | 43% |
| Huddle9% | 9% | 26% | −0.06 | 38% |
In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 38 % of the time (+0.15 EPA a play; +4.48 under center). No-huddle on 91 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 4 of 7 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (7 of 7).
Next game
SAT 3:00 ESPN+ · HANCOCK WHITNEY STADIUMSAT 3:00 ESPN+
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Belt crews−0.3 to +0.6 · 40 games | +0.2 | −0.3 to +0.6 | 40 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 4 games | −2.3 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 3 games | −0.8 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 3 games | −0.9 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 2 games | +2.8 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 1 game | −2.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on South Alabama than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on South Alabama than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | South AlabamaUSA | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.11 | 44th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 40.6% | 87th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.40 | 6th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.11 | 47th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.19 | 33rd | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 31.7% | 53rd | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.29 | 55th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 2.3% | 14th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40% | 73rd | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 5.02 | 22nd | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 70% | 39th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 28.3 | 74th | 28.0 |