

Sun Belt · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
South Alabama Jaguars
HC Major Applewhite (3rd yr) · OC — · DC Todd Orlando
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
Power rating−5.298th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.3of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored


Sun Belt · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
South Alabama
Jaguars · HC Major Applewhite (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 7) · base D 3-3-5
Power rating−5.298th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.3of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored


South Alabama
4-3 · 2-1 Sun Belt
POWER RATING−5.298th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 12% · title 2%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
RECORD4-3
ATS · O/U4-3 · 5-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG55%3.8 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.1095th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W39–14 | −14−14 | W | +0.21 | 39% | 38% | 92% | U 53.5 | — | ||
EPA +0.21 · SR 39% · U 53.5WE 92% | |||||||||||
| 2 | L24–28 | +9.5+9.5 | W | −0.14 | 47% | 40% | 40% | O 48 | — | ||
EPA −0.14 · SR 47% · O 48WE 40% | |||||||||||
| 3 | W41–36 | −7−7 | L | +0.24 | 44% | 47% | 73% | O 50 | — | ||
EPA +0.24 · SR 44% · O 50WE 73% | |||||||||||
| 4 | L21–45 | +20.5+20.5 | L | −0.41 | 33% | 60% | 11% | O 54.5 | — | ||
EPA −0.41 · SR 33% · O 54.5WE 11% | |||||||||||
| 5 | W52–35 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.31 | 52% | 46% | 81% | O 57 | — | ||
EPA +0.31 · SR 52% · O 57WE 81% | |||||||||||
| 6 | W56–49 | +3+3 | W | +0.12 | 49% | 64% | 64% | O 60.5 | — | ||
EPA +0.12 · SR 49% · O 60.5WE 64% | |||||||||||
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 | L13–20 | −1.5−1.5 | L | −0.25 | 36% | 49% | 23% | U 66.5 | — | ||
EPA −0.25 · SR 36% · U 66.5WE 23% | |||||||||||
| 9 | SAT 3:00 ESPN+SAT 3:00 | —+3.9 | — | — | — | — | 41% | — | +3.9 | ||
MODEL +3.9WP 41% | |||||||||||
| 10 | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+7.8 | 32% | +7.8 | |||||||
MODEL +7.8WP 32% | |||||||||||
| 11 | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−3.3 | 58% | −3.3 | |||||||
MODEL −3.3WP 58% | |||||||||||
| 12 | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−2.2 | 55% | −2.2 | |||||||
MODEL −2.2WP 55% | |||||||||||
| 13 | NOV 27NOV 27 | —+0.8 | 48% | +0.8 | |||||||
MODEL +0.8WP 48% | |||||||||||

