

MAC · 5-2 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Western Michigan Broncos
HC Lance Taylor (4th yr) · OC Walt Bell · DC Greer Martini
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 94%


MAC · 5-2 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Western Michigan
Broncos · HC Lance Taylor (4th yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 7) · base D 4-2-5


Western Michigan
5-2 · 3-0 MAC
2 losses now · CFP 1% in sims · CCG 67% · title 34%
Latest from the beat
WESTERN MICHIGAN · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L12–13 | +27.5+27.5 | W | −0.23 | 33% | 43% | 48% | 66 | 36.4 | ||
| 2 | W49–14 | −29−29 | W | +0.70 | 48% | 34% | 98% | 56 | 45.3 | ||
| 3 | W28–21 | −8.5−8.5 | L | +0.16 | 42% | 44% | 70% | 62 | 32.5 | ||
| 4 | L7–32 | +8.5+8.5 | L | −0.62 | 39% | 52% | 4% | 51 | 28.7 | ||
| 5 | W20–17 | −13.5−13.5 | L | +0.11 | 48% | 43% | 62% | 60 | 31.7 | ||
| 6 | W38–7 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.45 | 49% | 33% | 96% | 63 | 30.5 | ||
| 7 | W21–14 | −7.5−7.5 | L | +0.23 | 47% | 40% | 68% | 53 | 35.7 | ||
| 8 | SAT 12:00 CBSSNSAT 12:00 | +3+3 | — | — | — | — | 37% | 127 | — | ||
| 9 | OCT 31OCT 31 | −13.8 proj−13.8 | 80% | ||||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 | NOV 10NOV 10 | −12.7 proj−12.7 | 78% | ||||||||
| 12 | NOV 17NOV 17 | −16.6 proj−16.6 | 84% | ||||||||
| 13 | NOV 24NOV 24 | −5.3 proj−5.3 | 63% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 359 OF 363 PLAYS359 OF 363 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun94% | 94% | 39% | +0.06 | 43% |
| Under center6% | 6% | 30% | +0.29 | 57% |
| No-huddle12% | 12% | 59% | +0.09 | 43% |
| Huddle88% | 88% | 35% | +0.08 | 43% |
In shotgun on 94 % of tagged snaps, passing 39 % of the time (+0.06 EPA a play; +0.29 under center). No-huddle on 12 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 4 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 7).
Next game
SAT 12:00 CBSSN · GLASS BOWLSAT 12:00 CBSSN
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAC crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 47 games | 0.0 | −0.5 to +0.4 | 47 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 6 games | +0.1 | — | 6 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 2 games | +0.2 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | −2.4 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | +1.3 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 1 game | +2.3 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Western Michigan than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Western Michigan than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Western MichiganWMU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.07 | 63rd | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 42.5% | 58th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.22 | 123rd | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.09 | 56th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.10 | 74th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 30.3% | 85th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.33 | 49th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.0% | 72nd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44% | 47th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.24 | 70th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 70% | 40th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 33.2 | 137th | 28.0 |

