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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

MAC · 5-2 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4

Western Michigan Broncos

HC Lance Taylor (4th yr) · OC Walt Bell · DC Greer Martini

STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 94%

Power rating−0.675th
CFP odds1%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.4of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

MAC · 5-2 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4

Western Michigan

Broncos · HC Lance Taylor (4th yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 7) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−0.675th
CFP odds · outlook1%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.4of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Western Michigan

5-2 · 3-0 MAC

POWER RATING−0.675th in FBS
CFP ODDS1%no change
PROJ. WINS8.4of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT

2 losses now · CFP 1% in sims · CCG 67% · title 34%

FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored

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Latest from the beat

WESTERN MICHIGAN · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Western Michigan schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at Michiganat MichiganL12–13+27.5+27.5W−0.2333%43%48%6636.4
2MonmouthMonmouthW49–14−29−29W+0.7048%34%98%5645.3
3at Riceat RiceW28–21−8.5−8.5L+0.1642%44%70%6232.5
4Boise StateBoise StateL7–32+8.5+8.5L−0.6239%52%4%5128.7
5at Buffaloat BuffaloW20–17−13.5−13.5L+0.1148%43%62%6031.7
6Kent StateKent StateW38–7−13.5−13.5W+0.4549%33%96%6330.5
7at Central Michiganat Central MichiganW21–14−7.5−7.5L+0.2347%40%68%5335.7
8at Toledoat ToledoNEXTSAT 12:00 CBSSNSAT 12:00+3+3————37%127—
9Bowling GreenBowling GreenOCT 31OCT 31−13.8 proj−13.880%
10BYE
11at Akronat AkronNOV 10NOV 10−12.7 proj−12.778%
12Eastern MichiganEastern MichiganNOV 17NOV 17−16.6 proj−16.684%
13Miami (OH)Miami (OH)NOV 24NOV 24−5.3 proj−5.363%

Success rate by down & distance

1st100%n 3—n 046%n 1490%n 2
2nd68%n 1947%n 3234%n 5614%n 14
3rd68%n 2557%n 2311%n 1817%n 12
4th50%n 80%n 2—n 0—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 359 OF 363 PLAYS359 OF 363 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun94%94%39%+0.0643%
Under center6%6%30%+0.2957%
No-huddle12%12%59%+0.0943%
Huddle88%88%35%+0.0843%
StartersSTARTERS
124 of 7 games113 of 7BASE D4-2-54 of 7
124 of 74-2-5base D · 4 of 7

In shotgun on 94 % of tagged snaps, passing 39 % of the time (+0.06 EPA a play; +0.29 under center). No-huddle on 12 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 4 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 7).

Next game

SAT 12:00 CBSSN · GLASS BOWLSAT 12:00 CBSSN

at ToledoLINE+3MODEL+5.6WP37%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
MAC crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 47 games0.0−0.5 to +0.447NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 6 games+0.1—6NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 2 games+0.2—2NOISE
ACC crews— · 1 game−2.4—1NOISE
SEC crews— · 1 game+1.3—1NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 1 game+2.3—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTMatt Packowski−1.6 / g · 7 games · noise−1.6 / g · 7 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTRich Edwards+1.5 / g · 4 games · noise+1.5 / g · 4 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Western Michigan than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Western Michigan than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Western Michigan offense statistics
MetricStat
Western MichiganWMU
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.0763rd+0.06
Success rate42.5%58th42.3%
Explosiveness1.22123rd1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.0956th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.1074th+0.11
Passing downs SR30.3%85th31.1%
Line yards3.3349th3.21
Sack rate allowed5.0%72nd5.3%
3rd-down conversion44%47th41%
Points / opportunity4.2470th4.27
Red zone TD rate70%40th63%
Seconds / play33.2137th28.0