

NMSUNew Mexico State
32-4 · 1-1 C-USAFINAL


FIUFlorida International
223-2 · 1-0 C-USAFIU −7 COVERUNDER 47MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP FIU 63%→POSTGAME WE FIU 94%
Pitbull Stadium · 10,013- Postgame WE
- 94%FIU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.19NMSU −0.47
- Success rate
- 38%NMSU 35%
- Turnovers
- 1–1≈ 2.8 pts swing
- vs model
- +19proj FIU by 5.4
- Plays · pace
- 124proj 137 · 29.0s
Win probability · full game
FIU LOW 57% · Q1 12:03 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.1Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Miller intercepts Damante(07:07) Shotgun #14 A.Damante pass intercepted by #4 W.Miller at FIU27 #4 W.Miller return 20 yards to the FIU47 (#88 C.Su'esu'e)Q1 7:07 · 1st & 10 50 · −5.2 NMSU EPAQ1 7:07 · 1st & 10 50 · −5.2 NMSU EPA+.13 - 2

Peterson sacks Kohl, −6(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 J.Kohl sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FIU08 (#16 G.Peterson)Q1 12:10 · 3rd & 6 FIU 14 · −2.9 FIU EPAQ1 12:10 · 3rd & 6 FIU 14 · −2.9 FIU EPA−.09 - 3

Jones 27-yd run(14:57) Shotgun #2 J.Jones rush middle for 27 yards gain to the FIU38 (#7 J.Celestine), 1ST DOWNQ1 14:57 · 1st & 10 NMSU 35 · +1.7 EPAQ1 14:57 · 1st & 10 NMSU 35 · +1.7 EPA−.08 - 4

Kohl incomplete(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 J.Kohl pass incomplete short left thrown to FIU40 QB hurried by #16 G.Peterson PENALTY FIU Intentional Grounding (#17 J.Kohl)Q2 8:07 · 1st & 10 FIU 34 · −2.0 FIU EPAQ2 8:07 · 1st & 10 FIU 34 · −2.0 FIU EPA−.08 - 5

Offside on NMSUPENALTY NMSU Offside (#21 Z.Thomas) 5 yards from FIU08 to FIU13. NO PLAYQ1 11:27 · 4th & 12 FIU 8 · +0.8 EPAQ1 11:27 · 4th & 12 FIU 8 · +0.8 EPA+.07
Player EPA
Total · game

Wesley Miller · DBINT · 1 TKL+5.2
JJ Kohl · QB12/21 · 115 YDS · 1 INT−7.7
−9.2
Trey Hedden · QB2/8 · 19 YDS · 1 INT−12.0
Adam Damante · QB9/22 · 104 YDS · 1 INT−12.8
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 230 | 220 |
| Plays | 58 | 66 |
| Yards / play | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| EPA / play | −0.47 | −0.19 |
| Success rate | 35% | 38% |
| Explosive plays | 4 | 4 |
| Havoc rate | 18% | 17% |
| 3rd down | 3–12 | 6–15 |
| Pts / opportunity | 0.43 | 3.67 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Time of possession | — | — |
| Postgame WE | 6% | 94% |

