Missouri State vs Western Kentucky

MOSTMissouri State

131-4 · 0-1 C-USA

FINAL

WKUWestern Kentucky

342-4 · 1-1 C-USA

WKU +2 COVERUNDER 57MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP WKU 41%→POSTGAME WE WKU 90%

Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · 11,102

Win probability · full game

WKU LOW 40% · Q1 12:33 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.5

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Stafford 1-yd punt return
(13:43) #25 S.McDonald punt 45 yards to the WKU15 #80 J.Stafford Jr. return 1 yard to the WKU16 (#16 J.O'Neal)
Q1 13:43 · 4th & 3 MOST 40 · 0.0 MOST EPA
Q1 13:43 · 4th & 3 MOST 40 · 0.0 MOST EPA
+.13
2
Belin 36-yd TD to Myers
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Belin IV pass complete deep right to #3 I.Myers caught at WKU00, for 36 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:23, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD #36 Y.Obeid kick attempt good (H: #25 S.McDonald, LS: #47 A.Kallas)
Q3 7:23 · 2nd & 10 · 21–6 → 21–13 · +4.3 EPA
Q3 7:23 · 21–6 → 21–13 · +4.3 EPA
−.12
3
Glenn 15-yd pass to Stafford
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short middle to #80 J.Stafford Jr. caught at WKU46, for 15 yards to the WKU50 (#16 J.O'Neal), 1ST DOWN
Q1 10:19 · 3rd & 7 WKU 35 · +2.2 EPA
Q1 10:19 · 3rd & 7 WKU 35 · +2.2 EPA
+.11
4
Glenn 24-yd run
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush middle for 24 yards gain to the WKU49 (#0 J.Lloyd; #33 A.Mattison), 1ST DOWN
Q1 2:03 · 2nd & 10 WKU 25 · +2.9 EPA
Q1 2:03 · 2nd & 10 WKU 25 · +2.9 EPA
+.10
5
Allen 1-yd run
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush right for 1 yard gain to the WKU17 (#0 J.Lloyd)
Q1 13:31 · 1st & 10 WKU 16 · −0.9 WKU EPA
Q1 13:31 · 1st & 10 WKU 16 · −0.9 WKU EPA
−.10

Total · game