

CLTCharlotte
100-6 · 0-2 AmericanFINAL


UNTNorth Texas
504-2 · 2-0 AmericanUNT −27.5 COVEROVER 58.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP UNT 92%→POSTGAME WE UNT 99%
DATCU Stadium · 17,411- Postgame WE
- 99%UNT · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.39CLT −0.30
- Success rate
- 49%CLT 29%
- Turnovers
- 0–2≈ 8.3 pts swing
- vs model
- +40proj UNT by 23.6
- Plays · pace
- 126proj 129 · 28.6s
Win probability · full game
UNT LOW 96% · Q1 11:32 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.0Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

De Freitas 26-yd FG good(10:52) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 10:52Q1 10:52 · 4th & 3 · 0–0 → 3–0 · −0.2 EPAQ1 10:52 · 0–0 → 3–0 · −0.2 EPA+.01 - 2

Rutledge run, −1(08:35) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 1 yard loss to the CLT05 (#10 D.Onuoha; #91 D.Rhodes)Q2 8:35 · 1st & 10 CLT 6 · −0.8 CLT EPAQ2 8:35 · 1st & 10 CLT 6 · −0.8 CLT EPA+.01 - 3

Harrell 17-yd pass to Boston(08:06) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short left to #4 T.Boston caught at CLT24, for 17 yards to the CLT40 QB hurried by #10 D.Onuoha, out of bounds at CLT40, 1ST DOWNQ1 8:06 · 3rd & 10 CLT 23 · +3.2 EPAQ1 8:06 · 3rd & 10 CLT 23 · +3.2 EPA−.01 - 4

Jackson 75-yd TD to Tipton(14:00) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #80 B.Tipton caught at UNT34, for 75 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:48, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Q2 14:00 · 1st & 10 · 17–10 → 24–10 · +6.8 EPAQ2 14:00 · 17–10 → 24–10 · +6.8 EPA+.01 - 5

Jackson 14-yd pass to Reese(14:59) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #7 M.Reese caught at UNT31, for 14 yards to the UNT39 (#0 C.Gill; #10 J.Wall III), 1ST DOWNQ1 14:59 · 1st & 10 UNT 25 · +1.4 EPAQ1 14:59 · 1st & 10 UNT 25 · +1.4 EPA+.01
Player EPA
Total · game

Tayven Jackson · QB24/31 · 349 YDS · 5 TD · 0 INT+27.0
Jahiem White · RB12 CAR · 105 YDS · 1 TD · 2 REC · 37 REC YDS+9.8
Justin Stevenson · WR9 REC · 122 YDS · 2 TD+7.3
Max Reese · TE3 REC · 39 YDS · 1 TD+6.7
Chaston Ditta · QB4/8 · 33 YDS · 0 INT · 1 SACK−6.2
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 274 | 580 |
| Plays | 56 | 70 |
| Yards / play | 4.9 | 8.3 |
| EPA / play | −0.30 | +0.39 |
| Success rate | 29% | 49% |
| Explosive plays | 7 | 10 |
| Havoc rate | 4% | 20% |
| 3rd down | 3–13 | 5–14 |
| Pts / opportunity | 0.91 | 6.00 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 29:46 | 30:14 |
| Postgame WE | 1% | 99% |

