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FINAL · ESPN+ · DATCU STADIUM
CLTCharlotte
100-6 · 0-2 American
10
FINAL
UNTNorth Texas
504-2 · 2-0 American
50
UNT −27.5 COVEROVER 58.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP UNT 92%→POSTGAME WE UNT 99%
DATCU Stadium · 17,411
Postgame WE
99%UNT · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.39CLT −0.30
Success rate
49%CLT 29%
Turnovers
0–2≈ 8.3 pts swing
vs model
+40proj UNT by 23.6
Plays · pace
126proj 129 · 28.6s

Win probability · full game

UNT LOW 96% · Q1 11:32 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.0

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1North Texas
    De Freitas 26-yd FG good
    (10:52) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 10:52
    Q1 10:52 · 4th & 3 · 0–0 → 3–0 · −0.2 EPA
    Q1 10:52 · 0–0 → 3–0 · −0.2 EPA
    +.01
  2. 2North Texas
    Rutledge run, −1
    (08:35) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 1 yard loss to the CLT05 (#10 D.Onuoha; #91 D.Rhodes)
    Q2 8:35 · 1st & 10 CLT 6 · −0.8 CLT EPA
    Q2 8:35 · 1st & 10 CLT 6 · −0.8 CLT EPA
    +.01
  3. 3Charlotte
    Harrell 17-yd pass to Boston
    (08:06) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short left to #4 T.Boston caught at CLT24, for 17 yards to the CLT40 QB hurried by #10 D.Onuoha, out of bounds at CLT40, 1ST DOWN
    Q1 8:06 · 3rd & 10 CLT 23 · +3.2 EPA
    Q1 8:06 · 3rd & 10 CLT 23 · +3.2 EPA
    −.01
  4. 4North Texas
    Jackson 75-yd TD to Tipton
    (14:00) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #80 B.Tipton caught at UNT34, for 75 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:48, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)
    Q2 14:00 · 1st & 10 · 17–10 → 24–10 · +6.8 EPA
    Q2 14:00 · 17–10 → 24–10 · +6.8 EPA
    +.01
  5. 5North Texas
    Jackson 14-yd pass to Reese
    (14:59) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #7 M.Reese caught at UNT31, for 14 yards to the UNT39 (#0 C.Gill; #10 J.Wall III), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 14:59 · 1st & 10 UNT 25 · +1.4 EPA
    Q1 14:59 · 1st & 10 UNT 25 · +1.4 EPA
    +.01

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Charlotte at North Texas
StatCLTUNT
Total yards274580
Plays5670
Yards / play4.98.3
EPA / play−0.30+0.39
Success rate29%49%
Explosive plays710
Havoc rate4%20%
3rd down3–135–14
Pts / opportunity0.916.00
Turnovers20
Time of possession29:4630:14
Postgame WE1%99%