- Spread
- DEL −2.5
- Open −2.5 · −110
- Total
- 59.5
- Open 57.5 · o −110
- Model line
- —
- Win probability
- —
- Projected score
- —
- Projected plays
- —
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- DEL −2.5
- open −2.5
- Model
- —
- Total
- 59.5
Where the model sees the game
EPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED · GARBAGE TIME OUTEPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED
| Unit vs defense | Offense gainsOff | Defense allowsDef | Plays | Model impactImpact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
  Delaware passvs Western Kentucky pass Dvs WKU pass DBIGGEST EDGE | 104th−0.08 | 38th−0.06 | 39 | WKU +7.8 |
  Western Kentucky runvs Delaware run Dvs DEL run D | 132nd−0.13 | 86th+0.03 | 32 | DEL +4.8 |
| Western Kentucky passvs Delaware pass Dvs DEL pass D | 100th−0.07 | 116th+0.10 | 36 | WKU +1.9 |
| Delaware runvs Western Kentucky run Dvs WKU run D | 102nd−0.05 | 102nd+0.05 | 29 | DEL +0.2 |
BIGGEST EDGE · WKU +7.8
The Western Kentucky pass defense vs Delaware's passing game
Delaware gains +0.04 EPA a play on the pass (104th); Western Kentucky allows +0.05 (38th). About 39 such plays projected. OFFENSE / DEFENSE columns are EPA a play above the FBS mean; negative defense is stingier.
OFF = EPA/play gained above the FBS mean, DEF = allowed above it (negative is stingier). Impact = model points.
When Western Kentucky has the ball
- −0.06114thEPA / play106th+0.13
- 38.1%124thSuccess rate122nd47.0%
- 1.2879thExplosiveness75th1.30
- −0.06132ndRush EPA / play86th+0.10
- +0.05100thPass EPA / dropback116th+0.22
- 43.3%127thStandard downs SR123rd51.3%
- 29.9%93rdPassing downs SR116th33.3%
- 2.71129thLine yards88th3.21
- 15.4%106thHavoc rate56th15.0%
- 3.08130thPoints / opportunity72nd4.06
- 38%135thRed zone TD rate116th73%
Delaware's defense rates higher in 9 of 11. Widest gap: points per opportunity (130th vs 72nd).
When Delaware has the ball
- −0.01103rdEPA / play85th+0.09
- 39.4%103rdSuccess rate59th41.5%
- 1.3530thExplosiveness127th1.39
- +0.02102ndRush EPA / play102nd+0.12
- +0.04104thPass EPA / dropback38th+0.05
- 45.0%105thStandard downs SR47th46.0%
- 30.6%79thPassing downs SR78th31.1%
- 3.0299thLine yards98th3.26
- 16.0%118thHavoc rate84th13.6%
- 5.2813thPoints / opportunity94th4.33
- 65%64thRed zone TD rate120th75%
Western Kentucky's defense rates higher in 8 of 11. Widest gap: explosiveness (30th vs 127th).
Tempo & tendencies
SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE
| Metric | DELDEL | WKUWKU | FBS avgFBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral | 29.8 | 24.4 | 28.9 |
| Plays per gamePlays per game | 65.4 | 71.3 | 65.7 |
| Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral | 57.8% | 55.4% | 47.9% |
| Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS | +7.0% | +5.3% | −1.9% |
| Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral | 56.5% | 53.1% | 44.6% |
| 4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations | 25% | 23% | 27% |
| Time of possessionTime of possession | 29:06 | 29:59 | 30:11 |
| Avg starting field positionAvg starting field position | Own 29.6 | Own 27.7 | Own 29.8 |
Neutral = WP 20–80%
All tempo →Injury report
CUSA AVAILABILITY · DUE ~TUE · IMPACT = PTS VS REPLACEMENT × P(OUT)
Week 8 game-day report2 OUT FOR SEASON · 1 OUT
- Out for seasonGreg Spiller · RB
- Out for seasonNoah Frazier · DT
- OutColin Gallagher · LB
Week 7 game-day report5 OUT · 3 QUESTIONABLE
- OutNigel Johnson · WR
- OutSincere Baines · RB
- OutAdrion Boyd · RB
- OutKarsten Upchurch · OL
- OutNathan Gonzales · EDGE
- QuestionableMackavelli Malotumau · DL
- QuestionableJaylen Wester · LB
- QuestionableRylen Su'a-Filo · DL
Line movement
- THU 4:09PTotal 57.5 → 59.5
| Market · consensusMarket | Open | Now | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread DEL | −2.5 | −2.5 | — |
Total | 57.5 | 59.5 | — |
Moneyline DEL | −130 | −134 | — |
Broadcast
CBSSNConditions & crew
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