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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

C-USA · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 3-4

Delaware Blue Hens

HC Ryan Carty (2nd yr) · OC Terence Archer · DC Manny Rojas

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating−8.6116th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.1of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

C-USA · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 3-4

Delaware

Blue Hens · HC Ryan Carty (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 3-3-5

Power rating−8.6116th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.1of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Delaware

3-4 · 1-2 C-USA

POWER RATING−8.6116th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS5.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT

4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 3% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored

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DELAWARE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Delaware schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1MerrimackMerrimackW42–7−31.5−31.5W+0.7552%21%94%7426.6
2at Vanderbiltat VanderbiltL26–35+21+21W−0.1833%40%38%6728.4
3Coastal CarolinaCoastal CarolinaW22–14−5−5W+0.0349%48%56%6129.3
4at Virginiaat VirginiaL3–42+20+20L−0.7431%55%2%5725.5
5LibertyLibertyL14–30+7+7L−0.5931%53%16%6022.6
6BYE
7at Middle Tennesseeat Middle TennesseeL30–33−1.5−1.5L−0.0142%43%50%6729.7
8Missouri StateMissouri StateW61–38−3−3W+0.2752%57%92%7228.0
9at Western Kentuckyat Western KentuckyNEXTTUE 7:00 CBSSNTUE 7:00−2.5−2.5————39%——
10at Kennesaw Stateat Kennesaw StateNOV 7NOV 7+2.2 proj+2.245%
11Florida InternationalFlorida InternationalNOV 14NOV 14+2.3 proj+2.344%
12at New Mexico Stateat New Mexico StateNOV 21NOV 21+3.7 proj+3.741%
13Jacksonville StateJacksonville StateNOV 28NOV 28+3.7 proj+3.741%

Success rate by down & distance

1st100%n 267%n 342%n 1580%n 2
2nd67%n 1554%n 2839%n 5925%n 20
3rd50%n 1850%n 1231%n 296%n 17
4th78%n 9100%n 1—n 0100%n 1

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 372 OF 374 PLAYS372 OF 374 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun100%100%57%+0.0442%
Under center0%0%100%+1.31100%
No-huddle88%88%58%+0.0743%
Huddle12%12%52%−0.2234%
StartersSTARTERS
115 of 6 games121 of 6BASE D3-3-54 of 6
115 of 63-3-5base D · 4 of 6

In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 57 % of the time (+0.04 EPA a play; +1.31 under center). No-huddle on 88 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 6 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (4 of 6).

Next game

TUE 7:00 CBSSN · HOUCHENS INDUSTRIES-L.T. SMITH STADIUMTUE 7:00 CBSSN

at Western KentuckyLINE−2.5MODEL+4.6WP39%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
C-USA crews−0.4 to +0.7 · 14 games+0.2−0.4 to +0.714NOISE
ACC crews— · 2 games−0.5—2NOISE
American crews— · 2 games−0.8—2NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 1 game−1.4—1NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 1 game+0.1—1NOISE
SEC crews— · 1 game−3.3—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTRon Hudson−1.8 / g · 3 games · noise−1.8 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTRory Bernard0.0 / g · 3 games · noise0.0 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Delaware than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Delaware than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Delaware offense statistics
MetricStat
DelawareDEL
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.02104th+0.06
Success rate39.3%105th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3530th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.02104th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.04107th+0.11
Passing downs SR30.6%80th31.1%
Line yards3.0298th3.21
Sack rate allowed8.5%125th5.3%
3rd-down conversion33%116th41%
Points / opportunity5.2811th4.27
Red zone TD rate65%63rd63%
Seconds / play28.170th28.0