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FRI 7:00 · ESPN2 · CHARLOTTE
Tulane
3-33-3 · 1-1 American · ATS 3-3
7:00 PM ET
Fri, Oct 30 · ESPN2
Jerry Richardson Stadium · Charlotte
WIN PROB
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Charlotte
1-61-6 · 1-2 American · ATS 3-4
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Total
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Model line
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Win probability
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Projected score
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Projected plays
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FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
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Model
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Total
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Where the model sees the game

EPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED · GARBAGE TIME OUTEPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED

Where the model sees the game: unit gaps and their model impact
Unit vs defenseOffense gainsOffDefense allowsDefPlaysModel impactImpact
Charlotte passvs Tulane pass Dvs TULN pass DBIGGEST EDGE
120th−0.1363rd−0.0137TULN +7.5
Charlotte runvs Tulane run Dvs TULN run D
117th−0.0771st0.0031TULN +3.1
Tulane runvs Charlotte run Dvs CLT run D
95th−0.04107th+0.0635TULN +1.0
Tulane passvs Charlotte pass Dvs CLT pass D
115th−0.12125th+0.1233TULN +0.3

BIGGEST EDGE · TULN +7.5

The Tulane pass defense vs Charlotte's passing game

Charlotte gains −0.02 EPA a play on the pass (120th); Tulane allows +0.11 (63rd). About 37 such plays projected. OFFENSE / DEFENSE columns are EPA a play above the FBS mean; negative defense is stingier.

OFF = EPA/play gained above the FBS mean, DEF = allowed above it (negative is stingier). Impact = model points.

OffenseCharlotte
CLT OFF

When Charlotte has the ball

DefenseTulane
TULN DEF
  • −0.11133rdEPA / play60th+0.04
  • 35.9%132ndSuccess rate55th41.4%
  • 1.3342ndExplosiveness86th1.31
  • 0.00117thRush EPA / play71st+0.07
  • −0.02120thPass EPA / dropback63rd+0.11
  • 42.2%131stStandard downs SR55th46.4%
  • 28.2%116thPassing downs SR81st31.3%
  • 2.63133rdLine yards125th3.48
  • 14.8%94thHavoc rate112th12.2%
  • 3.43120thPoints / opportunity11th2.95
  • 67%55thRed zone TD rate16th46%

Tulane's defense rates higher in 9 of 11. Widest gap: points per opportunity (120th vs 11th).

OffenseTulane
TULN OFF

When Tulane has the ball

DefenseCharlotte
CLT DEF
  • −0.04109thEPA / play125th+0.19
  • 34.3%137thSuccess rate130th47.4%
  • 1.424thExplosiveness81st1.31
  • +0.0395thRush EPA / play107th+0.13
  • 0.00115thPass EPA / dropback125th+0.24
  • 40.7%135thStandard downs SR120th50.7%
  • 27.6%123rdPassing downs SR132nd35.7%
  • 2.90117thLine yards69th3.12
  • 16.2%121stHavoc rate117th11.9%
  • 3.08130thPoints / opportunity131st5.14
  • 55%104thRed zone TD rate127th78%

Tulane's offense rates higher in 7 of 11. Widest gap: explosiveness (4th vs 81st).

Tempo & tendencies

SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE

Tempo and tendencies, Tulane and Charlotte, season to date
MetricTULNTULNCLTCLTFBS avgFBS
Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral27.428.328.9
Plays per gamePlays per game57.557.465.7
Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral48.5%54.2%47.9%
Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS−4.6%+2.6%−2.0%
Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral41.7%55.3%44.6%
4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations14%22%27%
Time of possessionTime of possession26:2028:0830:11
Avg starting field positionAvg starting field positionOwn 27.6Own 27.3Own 29.8

Neutral = WP 20–80%

All tempo →

Injury report

AMERICAN AVAILABILITY · DUE ~FRI · IMPACT = PTS VS REPLACEMENT × P(OUT)

Tulane

AMERICAN REPORT EXPECTED ~FRI (GD)% TO PLAYIMPACT
No report yetAMERICAN REPORT EXPECTED ~FRI (GD)
Week 7 game-day report7 OUT · 1 QUESTIONABLE

Charlotte

AMERICAN REPORT EXPECTED ~FRI (GD)% TO PLAYIMPACT
No report yetAMERICAN REPORT EXPECTED ~FRI (GD)
Week 7 game-day report10 OUT · 2 QUESTIONABLE

Broadcast

ESPN2
CrewTBA

Conditions & crew

KICKOFF FORECAST

Temp
71°
mph NE
2
Precip
1%
Surface
Turf
RefereeCrew TBA
RestTULN 14d · CLT 13dBOTH OFF BYE