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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

American · 3-3 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 2-4

Tulane Green Wave

HC Will Hall (1st yr) · OC Russ Callaway · DC Tayler Polk

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (2 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 92%

Power rating−1.982nd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.2of 12
Fan pulse—6 of 30 scored

American · 3-3 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 2-4

Tulane

Green Wave · HC Will Hall (1st yr) · starts in 11 (2 of 6) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−1.982nd
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.2of 12
Fan pulse—6 of 30 scored

Tulane

3-3 · 1-1 American

POWER RATING−1.982nd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.2of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT

3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 8% · title 3%

FAN PULSE—6 of 30 scored

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Latest from the beat

TULANE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Tulane schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at Dukeat DukeL3–17+9+9L−0.2228%30%18%5424.7
2South AlabamaSouth AlabamaW28–24−9.5−9.5L+0.1440%47%60%4825.9
3at Kansas Stateat Kansas StateL20–31+20.5+20.5W−0.4434%50%23%5827.2
4Southern MissSouthern MissW24–21−18−18L−0.1036%36%56%7525.5
5BYE
6at Armyat ArmyL17–20+5.5+5.5W−0.1531%50%42%5128.0
7MemphisMemphisW31–17+6.5+6.5W+0.1929%42%74%5931.4
8UTSAUTSANEXTSAT 8:00 ESPNUSAT 8:00+2.5+2.5————53%123—
9at Charlotteat CharlotteOCT 30OCT 30−11.2 proj−11.275%
10TulsaTulsaNOV 7NOV 7−1.5 proj−1.554%
11at Riceat RiceNOV 14NOV 14−7 proj−766%
12North TexasNorth TexasNOV 21NOV 21+6 proj+636%
13at South Floridaat South FloridaNOV 27NOV 27+6.6 proj+6.634%

Success rate by down & distance

1st67%n 3—n 032%n 13360%n 5
2nd46%n 1327%n 2234%n 589%n 22
3rd81%n 1636%n 2225%n 2415%n 20
4th100%n 20%n 10%n 20%n 2

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 344 OF 345 PLAYS344 OF 345 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun92%92%50%−0.0331%
Under center8%8%28%+0.1148%
No-huddle64%64%50%+0.0936%
Huddle36%36%44%−0.2227%
StartersSTARTERS
112 of 6 games122 of 6BASE D4-2-54 of 6
112 of 64-2-5base D · 4 of 6

In shotgun on 92 % of tagged snaps, passing 50 % of the time (−0.03 EPA a play; +0.11 under center). No-huddle on 64 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 2 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 6).

Next game

SAT 8:00 ESPNU · YULMAN STADIUMSAT 8:00 ESPNU

vs UTSALINE+2.5MODEL−1.4WP53%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
American crews−0.4 to +0.4 · 51 games0.0−0.4 to +0.451NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 3 games+1.0—3NOISE
ACC crews— · 2 games+0.7—2NOISE
SEC crews— · 2 games−2.2—2NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 1 game+1.9—1NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 1 game+0.7—1NOISE
MAC crews— · 1 game−1.2—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTHank Johns−1.4 / g · 3 games · noise−1.4 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTEdwin Lee+0.8 / g · 5 games · noise+0.8 / g · 5 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Tulane than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Tulane than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Tulane offense statistics
MetricStat
TulaneTULN
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.04109th+0.06
Success rate34.3%137th42.3%
Explosiveness1.424th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.0395th+0.07
Pass EPA / play0.00115th+0.11
Passing downs SR27.6%123rd31.1%
Line yards2.90117th3.21
Sack rate allowed7.2%108th5.3%
3rd-down conversion38%91st41%
Points / opportunity3.08130th4.27
Red zone TD rate55%104th63%
Seconds / play27.047th28.0