6-3 · 4-2 Big Ten · ATS 5-4
Wisconsin
6-3
Kickoff in26:40:01
12:00 PM ET · FS1 · SECU Stadium
3-6 · 1-5 Big Ten · ATS 4-4-1
Maryland
3-6
12:00 PM ET · FS1 · SECU Stadium
48° · 13 mph NW · 0% rain
- Spread
- WIS −9WIS −9
- ▲ 1 · MON 2:11A▲ 1 · MON 2:11A
- Total
- 42.542.5
- Model 46.9Model 46.9
- Model lineModel
- WIS −5.5−5.5
- Model total 46.9WISModel edge 3.5 pts on MD vs the consensus now
- Win probability
- 63%63%
- was 63 · weekly runwas 63 · weekly run
- At kickoff
- 48°48°
- 13 mph NW · 0% rain13 mph NW · 0% rain
- Projected plays
- 121121
- FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/playFBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches- 01
The Wisconsin pass defense vs Maryland's passing game
Maryland gains +0.00 EPA a play on the pass (106th); Wisconsin allows −0.04 (15th). About 35 such plays projected.
WIS +12.5Model impact - 02
The pace fight
MD snaps every 29.3 s, WIS every 31.9 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 3.9 points. The model projects 121 plays against a 131 average.
U 3.9Total impact - 03
The Wisconsin run defense vs Maryland's run game
Maryland gains +0.07 EPA a play on the run (70th); Wisconsin allows −0.02 (17th). About 25 such plays projected.
WIS +3.6Model impact
Late news
Auto-updatingHolmes probable
MD LB · Q → P
Leahy probable
MD K · Q → P
Grimes probable
MD LB · Q → P
Glasker probable
MD DB · Q → P
Williams ruled out
MD LB · AVAILABLE → OUT
Willson doubtful
MD RB · Q → D
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