North Dakota StateNDSU218-2 · 5-2 Mountain West
21FINAL
HAW +8.5 COVERUNDER 39.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP NDSU 76%POSTGAME WE NDSU 70%
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex · 15,014
Hawai'iHAW133-7 · 2-5 Mountain West
13- Postgame WE
- 70%
- NDSU · 10k sims
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.16
- HAW −0.35
- Success rate
- 36%
- HAW 32%
- Turnovers
- 0–2
- ≈ 11.7 pts swing
- vs model
- +8
- proj NDSU by 11.6
- Plays · pace
- 129
- proj 135 · 27.9s
How often this box score wins
Win probability · full game
NDSU LOW 31% · Q3 4:23 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.6Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|- 1
James 49-yd pick-six
Ray James Jr. 49 Yd Interception Return (Drew Klein Kick)
+.25 - 2
Rice 15-yd TD run
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 15 yards gain to the NDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:04, 1ST DOWN #98 S.Olvera-Harle kick attempt good (H: #47 G.Heil, LS: #33 J.Mowrey)
−.24 - 3
Scott 1-yd TD run
DJ Scott 1 Yd Run (Drew Klein Kick)
+.20 - 4
Alejado 14-yd pass to Mikaele
(05:29) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #26 S.Mikaele caught at NDSU40, for 14 yards to the NDSU24 (#1 D.Woolen), 1ST DOWN
−.14 - 5
Hayes 11-yd pass to St. Romain
(00:56) Shotgun #2 N.Hayes pass complete short left to #17 I.St. Romain caught at NDSU30, for 11 yards to the NDSU38 (#4 E.Palmer), 1ST DOWN
+.13
Player EPA
Total · gamePlay-by-play
Box score
| Stat | NDSU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 184 | 341 |
| Plays | 55 | 74 |
| Yards / play | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| EPA / play | −0.16 | −0.35 |
| Success rate | 36% | 32% |
| Explosive plays | 3 | 6 |
| Havoc rate | 24% | 18% |
| 3rd down | — | — |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.33 | 1.30 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Time of possession | — | — |
| Postgame WE | 70% | 30% |