SEC · 4-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 2-4
Auburn Tigers
HC Alex Golesh (1st yr) · OC Joel Gordon · DC DJ Durkin
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 98%
Power rating6.829th
CFP odds1%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.9of 12
Fan pulse+2▲23
SEC · 4-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 2-4
Auburn
Tigers · HC Alex Golesh (1st yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating6.829th
CFP odds · outlook1%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.9of 12
Fan pulse+2▲23
Auburn
4-2 · 2-2 SEC
POWER RATING6.829th in FBS
CFP ODDS1%no change
PROJ. WINS6.9of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 1% in sims · CCG 2% · title 1%
FAN PULSE+2▲23
14 pts below the model ·Coverage →
RECORD4-2
ATS · O/U2-4 · 2-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG54%3.2 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1038th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   vs Baylor · Atlantavs Baylor | W17–16 | −6.5−6.5 | L | −0.03 | 38% | 39% | 49% | U 58.5 | — | |
EPA −0.03 · SR 38% · U 58.5WE 49% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Southern MissSouthern Miss | W43–8 | −33−33 | W | +0.65 | 51% | 38% | 99% | U 57 | — | |
EPA +0.65 · SR 51% · U 57WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   FloridaFlorida | L39–44 | +2.5+2.5 | L | −0.09 | 45% | 39% | 29% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.09 · SR 45% · O 53.5WE 29% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   VanderbiltVanderbilt | W21–15 | −10−10 | L | +0.07 | 36% | 39% | 62% | U 54.5 | — | |
EPA +0.07 · SR 36% · U 54.5WE 62% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Tennesseeat Tennessee | L14–24 | +6.5+6.5 | L | −0.11 | 42% | 41% | 23% | U 54.5 | — | |
EPA −0.11 · SR 42% · U 54.5WE 23% | |||||||||||
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   at Georgiaat Georgia | W27–24 | +19.5+19.5 | W | −0.01 | 38% | 52% | 58% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA −0.01 · SR 38% · O 50.5WE 58% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   LSULSUNEXT | SAT 12:00 ABCSAT 12:00 | +7+7 | — | — | — | — | 28% | 51.5 | +9.6 | |
MODEL +9.6 · TOTAL 51.5WP 28% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at Ole Missat Ole Miss | OCT 31OCT 31 | —+8.8 | 30% | +8.8 | ||||||
MODEL +8.8WP 30% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   ArkansasArkansas | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−14.1 | 80% | −14.1 | ||||||
MODEL −14.1WP 80% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Mississippi Stateat Mississippi State | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+2.6 | 44% | +2.6 | ||||||
MODEL +2.6WP 44% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   SamfordSamford | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−22.6 | 91% | −22.6 | ||||||
MODEL −22.6WP 91% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Alabamaat Alabama | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+14.2 | 20% | +14.2 | ||||||
MODEL +14.2WP 20% | |||||||||||