MAC · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 6-1
Ball State Cardinals
HC Mike Uremovich (2nd yr) · OC — · DC Jeff Knowles
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 5) · BASE D 2-4-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
MAC · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 6-1
Ball State
Cardinals · HC Mike Uremovich (2nd yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 5) · base D 2-4-5
Ball State
2-5 · 1-2 MAC
5 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
BALL STATE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Ohio Stateat Ohio State | L3–56 | +51+51 | L | −1.05 | 21% | 61% | 0% | 59 | 33.0 | |
| 2 |   Stony BrookStony Brook | W41–17 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.68 | 42% | 27% | 93% | 66 | 30.6 | |
| 3 |   at Libertyat Liberty | L15–51 | +14.5+14.5 | L | −0.40 | 42% | 55% | 1% | 55 | 32.4 | |
| 4 |   at Kent Stateat Kent State | L13–26 | +2.5+2.5 | L | −0.35 | 26% | 35% | 25% | 53 | 26.4 | |
| 5 |   ToledoToledo | L24–39 | +21+21 | W | −0.13 | 38% | 43% | 23% | 61 | 26.9 | |
| 6 |   at Northwesternat Northwestern | L14–45 | +34.5+34.5 | W | −0.70 | 41% | 57% | 1% | 78 | 25.1 | |
| 7 |   at Bowling Greenat Bowling Green | W32–31 | +6+6 | W | +0.05 | 55% | 45% | 48% | 66 | 30.0 | |
| 8 |   Sacramento StateSacramento StateNEXT | SAT 3:30 ESPN+SAT 3:30 | −14.5−14.5 | — | — | — | — | 74% | 127 | — | |
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   at Massachusettsat Massachusetts | NOV 4NOV 4 | +8 proj+8 | 31% | |||||||
| 11 |   BuffaloBuffalo | NOV 11NOV 11 | −0.6 proj−0.6 | 51% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Ohioat Ohio | NOV 17NOV 17 | +13 proj+13 | 22% | |||||||
| 13 |   Central MichiganCentral Michigan | NOV 28NOV 28 | +0.3 proj+0.3 | 49% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 365 OF 368 PLAYS365 OF 368 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun99% | 99% | 53% | +0.04 | 39% |
| Under center1% | 1% | 0% | −2.31 | 0% |
| No-huddle30% | 30% | 50% | −0.07 | 34% |
| Huddle70% | 70% | 54% | +0.07 | 41% |
In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 53 % of the time (+0.04 EPA a play; −2.31 under center). No-huddle on 30 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 4 of 5 games. Base defense 2-4-5 (4 of 6).
Next game
SAT 3:30 ESPN+ · SCHEUMANN STADIUMSAT 3:30 ESPN+
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAC crews−0.3 to +0.6 · 39 games | +0.2 | −0.3 to +0.6 | 39 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 5 games | −0.6 | — | 5 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 4 games | −1.9 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 2 games | +1.4 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 2 games | +1.0 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | −2.7 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Ball State than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Ball State than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Ball StateBALL | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.03 | 85th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 39.1% | 106th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.36 | 28th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.01 | 112th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.12 | 61st | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 31.1% | 69th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 2.99 | 101st | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 3.1% | 28th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34% | 111th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.80 | 40th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 75% | 15th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 28.5 | 78th | 28.0 |