MAC · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 6-1
Ball State Cardinals
HC Mike Uremovich (2nd yr) · OC — · DC Jeff Knowles
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 5) · BASE D 2-4-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating−12.7130th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.3of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
MAC · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 6-1
Ball State
Cardinals · HC Mike Uremovich (2nd yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 5) · base D 2-4-5
Power rating−12.7130th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.3of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Ball State
2-5 · 1-2 MAC
POWER RATING−12.7130th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
5 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored
RECORD2-5
ATS · O/U4-3 · 6-1
POSTGAME WE · AVG27%1.9 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.20126th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Ohio Stateat Ohio State | L3–56 | +51+51 | L | −1.05 | 21% | 61% | 0% | O 56 | — | |
EPA −1.05 · SR 21% · O 56WE 0% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Stony BrookStony Brook | W41–17 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.68 | 42% | 27% | 93% | O 53 | — | |
EPA +0.68 · SR 42% · O 53WE 93% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Libertyat Liberty | L15–51 | +14.5+14.5 | L | −0.40 | 42% | 55% | 1% | O 49.5 | — | |
EPA −0.40 · SR 42% · O 49.5WE 1% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Kent Stateat Kent State | L13–26 | +2.5+2.5 | L | −0.35 | 26% | 35% | 25% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA −0.35 · SR 26% · U 51.5WE 25% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   ToledoToledo | L24–39 | +21+21 | W | −0.13 | 38% | 43% | 23% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.13 · SR 38% · O 52.5WE 23% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Northwesternat Northwestern | L14–45 | +34.5+34.5 | W | −0.70 | 41% | 57% | 1% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.70 · SR 41% · O 53.5WE 1% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Bowling Greenat Bowling Green | W32–31 | +6+6 | W | +0.05 | 55% | 45% | 48% | O 46.5 | — | |
EPA +0.05 · SR 55% · O 46.5WE 48% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   Sacramento StateSacramento StateNEXT | SAT 3:30 ESPN+SAT 3:30 | −14.5−14.5 | — | — | — | — | 74% | 51 | −10.8 | |
MODEL −10.8 · TOTAL 51WP 74% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   at Massachusettsat Massachusetts | NOV 4NOV 4 | —+6.9 | 34% | +6.9 | ||||||
MODEL +6.9WP 34% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   BuffaloBuffalo | NOV 11NOV 11 | —−0.8 | 52% | −0.8 | ||||||
MODEL −0.8WP 52% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Ohioat Ohio | NOV 17NOV 17 | —+12.9 | 22% | +12.9 | ||||||
MODEL +12.9WP 22% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   Central MichiganCentral Michigan | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+0.6 | 49% | +0.6 | ||||||
MODEL +0.6WP 49% | |||||||||||