Big 12 · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4
Baylor Bears
HC Dave Aranda (7th yr) · OC Jake Spavital · DC Joe Klanderman
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
Power rating5.042nd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.5of 12
Fan pulse—13 of 30 scored
Big 12 · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4
Baylor
Bears · HC Dave Aranda (7th yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating5.042nd
CFP odds0%—
Proj. wins6.5of 12
Fan pulse—13 of 30 scored
Baylor
4-2 · 2-1 Big 12
POWER RATING5.042nd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.5of 12 games
Fan sentiment
NET · WEEKLY · 2026NET SENTIMENT −100 TO +100 · WEEKLY · 2026FANSHAVOC MODEL EXPECTATIONUNDER 30 SCORED POSTS · NO SCOREPOSTS / WEEK
FANSMODELUNDER 30 SCORED
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · AUB | no score (too few posts) | — | 73 | — |
| WK 2 · PV | no score (too few posts) | — | 18 | — |
| WK 3 · LT | no score (too few posts) | — | 2 | — |
| WK 4 · COLO | no score (too few posts) | — | 1 | — |
| WK 5 · @ASU | no score (too few posts) | — | 1 | — |
| WK 6 | no score (too few posts) | +20 | 2 | — |
| WK 7 · TCU | −44 | +7 | 67 | — |
| WK 8 · @KU | no score (too few posts) | +7 | 13 so far | — |
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · AUB | no score (too few posts) | — | 73 | — |
| WK 2 · PV | no score (too few posts) | — | 18 | — |
| WK 3 · LT | no score (too few posts) | — | 2 | — |
| WK 4 · COLO | no score (too few posts) | — | 1 | — |
| WK 5 · @ASU | no score (too few posts) | — | 1 | — |
| WK 6 | no score (too few posts) | +20 | 2 | — |
| WK 7 · TCU | −44 | +7 | 67 | — |
| WK 8 · @KU | no score (too few posts) | +7 | 13 so far | — |
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · AUB | no score (too few posts) | — | 73 | — |
| WK 2 · PV | no score (too few posts) | — | 18 | — |
| WK 3 · LT | no score (too few posts) | — | 2 | — |
| WK 4 · COLO | no score (too few posts) | — | 1 | — |
| WK 5 · @ASU | no score (too few posts) | — | 1 | — |
| WK 6 | no score (too few posts) | +20 | 2 | — |
| WK 7 · TCU | −44 | +7 | 67 | — |
| WK 8 · @KU | no score (too few posts) | +7 | 13 so far | — |
NET SENTIMENT = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 177 SINCE WK 1 · REDDIT 100%
A WEEK SCORES AT 30 SCORED POSTS · MODEL = POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
NET = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 177 SINCE WK 1 · REDDIT 100%
A WEEK SCORES AT 30 SCORED POSTS · MODEL = POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
A WEEK SCORES AT 30 SCORED · n 177 SINCE WK 1 · REDDIT 100% · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
Fan pulse
WK 8 · SO FAR—13 of 30 scored
Model expects+7
0 SCORED30 · WEEKLY SCORE
Not enough posts for a fan pulse yet.
A weekly score needs 30 scored posts; Baylor fans have 13 since Monday. Last scored week: −44 after the TCU loss.
A weekly score needs 30 scored posts; Baylor fans have 13 since Monday. Last scored week: −44 after the TCU loss.
Where this week’s posts come from | Posts | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| r/baylor | 92% | 12 |
Who covers Baylor
10 SOURCES · GRADED10 SOURCES · GRADED AGAINST OFFICIAL REPORTSReporter | Reporter | Links | Tier | Hit rate | First | Lead | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BA officialBaylor AthleticsBaylor Athletics · Team official · baylorbears.com/ | BA Baylor AthleticsBaylor Athletics · Team officialBaylor Athletics ·baylorbears.com/ | baylorbears.com/PDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
BF officialBaylor FootballBaylor Athletics · Team official · baylorbears.com/sports/football | BF Baylor FootballBaylor Athletics · Team officialBaylor Athletics ·baylorbears.com/sports/football | baylorbears.com/sports/footballPDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
BF officialBaylor football news feedbaylorbears.com · Team official · baylorbears.com/sports/football | BF Baylor football news feedbaylorbears.com · Team officialbaylorbears.com ·baylorbears.com/sports/football | baylorbears.com/sports/footballPDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | Sun |
ZS Zach Smithreported Waco Tribune-Herald · Beat writer@ByZachSmith· last — hit50%1/2first100%lead44.9h | ZS Zach SmithWaco Tribune-Herald · Beat writerWaco Tribune-Herald ·@ByZachSmith | @ByZachSmithBluesky · Site | reported | 50%1 of 2 | 100% | 44.9h | — |
BL Baylor Lariat football deskreported The Baylor Lariat (student paper) · Beat writerbaylorlariat.com/category/sports/football/feed/· last 2d source of truth · reference for grading | BL Baylor Lariat football deskThe Baylor Lariat (student paper) · Beat writerThe Baylor Lariat (student paper) ·baylorlariat.com/category/sports/football/feed/ | baylorlariat.com/category/sports/football/feed/RSS · Site | reported | source of truth | — | — | 2d |
BC Brice Cherryreported Waco Tribune-Herald · Beat writer@bricecherry· last — source of truth · reference for grading | BC Brice CherryWaco Tribune-Herald · Beat writerWaco Tribune-Herald ·@bricecherry | @bricecherrySite | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
WT Waco Tribune-Herald Baylor sportsreported Waco Tribune-Herald · Beat writerwacotrib.com/search/?f=rss&t=article&c=sports/college/baylor&l=50&s=start_time&sd=desc· last 6h source of truth · reference for grading | WT Waco Tribune-Herald Baylor sportsWaco Tribune-Herald · Beat writerWaco Tribune-Herald ·wacotrib.com/search/?f=rss&t=article&c=sports/college/baylor&l=50&s=start_time&sd=desc | wacotrib.com/search/?f=rss&t=article&c=sports/college/baylor&l=50&s=start_time&sd=descRSS · Site | reported | source of truth | — | — | 6h |
BI Bears Illustratedrumor 247Sports · Insider@baylorbears247· last — source of truth · reference for grading | BI Bears Illustrated247Sports · Insider247Sports ·@baylorbears247 | @baylorbears247Site | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
GR Garrett Rossrumor Bears Illustrated (247Sports) · Insider@_Garrettross· last — source of truth · reference for grading | GR Garrett RossBears Illustrated (247Sports) · InsiderBears Illustrated (247Sports) ·@_Garrettross | @_GarrettrossSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
SS Scotty Swinglerrumor Bears Illustrated (247Sports) · Insider@PleaseBearW_Me· last — source of truth · reference for grading | SS Scotty SwinglerBears Illustrated (247Sports) · InsiderBears Illustrated (247Sports) ·@PleaseBearW_Me | @PleaseBearW_MeSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
HIT RATE = CLAIMS LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT OR BOX-SCORE PARTICIPATIONHIT = LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT
FIRST = SHARE OF CONFIRMED CLAIMS THEY BROKE · LEAD = MEDIAN HOURS AHEAD OF THE OFFICIAL REPORTFIRST = SHARE THEY BROKE · LEAD = HOURS AHEAD
NEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR · REPORTED AT ≥ 75% OVER 8 GRADED CLAIMSNEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR
Latest from the beat
LAST 72 H · 0 CLAIMSNo claims in this window.
How a tip becomes a status
- 1A free source posts a tipForum, Reddit, Bluesky or RSS. “The starting QB missed practice.”
- 2One targeted X checkfrom:[Baylor writers] · last 72 h
- 3A cited status, graded laterShown next to the official one. Scored against the next report.
- official
- Conference report or team statement. The status of record.
- reported
- Writer with a proven record. Shown beside official, cited.
- rumor
- New, fan or unproven. Feed only until confirmed.
Fan sources
3 SOURCES · TIPS + PULSE3 SOURCES · TIPS AND FAN PULSESource | Source | Size | Posts / wk | Mood | Tier | Used for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
r/ r/baylorrumor Subreddit · Reddit—12/ wkmood−30 | r/ r/baylorSubreddit · Reddit | — | 12 | −30 | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
W BaylorAthleticsofficial YouTube · Baylor Athletics——mood— | W BaylorAthleticsYouTube · Baylor Athletics | — | — | — | official | TIPS |
W Our Daily Bearsrumor Team blog · SB Nation——mood— | W Our Daily BearsTeam blog · SB Nation | — | — | — | rumor | TIPS |