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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Big 12 · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4

Baylor Bears

HC Dave Aranda (7th yr) · OC Jake Spavital · DC Joe Klanderman

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating5.042nd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.5of 12
Fan pulse—13 of 30 scored

Big 12 · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4

Baylor

Bears · HC Dave Aranda (7th yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 6) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating5.042nd
CFP odds · outlook0%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.5of 12
Fan pulse—13 of 30 scored

Baylor

4-2 · 2-1 Big 12

POWER RATING5.042nd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT

2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 2% · title 1%

FAN PULSE—13 of 30 scored

Coverage →

RECORD4-2
ATS · O/U4-2 · 2-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG72%4.3 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.0745th FBS

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS

Baylor schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
WP · post / pre
O/U
Model
1vs Auburn · Atlantavs AuburnL16–17+6.5+6.5W+0.0339%38%51%U 58.5—
EPA +0.03 · SR 39% · U 58.5WE 51%
2Prairie View A&MPrairie View A&MW44–3−37.5−37.5W+0.7762%11%99%U 55.5—
EPA +0.77 · SR 62% · U 55.5WE 99%
3Louisiana TechLouisiana TechW36–19−20.5−20.5L+0.1638%30%84%O 50.5—
EPA +0.16 · SR 38% · O 50.5WE 84%
4ColoradoColoradoW23–13−8.5−8.5W−0.0535%35%72%U 54.5—
EPA −0.05 · SR 35% · U 54.5WE 72%
5at Arizona Stateat Arizona StateW55–19+3.5+3.5W+0.5643%39%96%O 49—
EPA +0.56 · SR 43% · O 49WE 96%
6BYE
7TCUTCUL6–17−3.5−3.5L−0.1625%36%30%U 50.5—
EPA −0.16 · SR 25% · U 50.5WE 30%
8at Kansasat KansasNEXTSAT 1:00 TNTSAT 1:00−1−1————53%53−1.4
MODEL −1.4 · TOTAL 53WP 53%
9at UCFat UCFOCT 30OCT 30—+0.748%+0.7
MODEL +0.7WP 48%
10Iowa StateIowa StateNOV 7NOV 7—−664%−6
MODEL −6WP 64%
11at BYUat BYUNOV 14NOV 14—+15.517%+15.5
MODEL +15.5WP 17%
12Texas TechTexas TechNOV 21NOV 21—+6.934%+6.9
MODEL +6.9WP 34%
13at Houstonat HoustonNOV 28NOV 28—+10.526%+10.5
MODEL +10.5WP 26%