SEC · #20 AP · 5-2 · 3-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 4-3
Florida Gators
HC Jon Sumrall (1st yr) · OC Buster Faulkner · DC Brad White
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 93%
Power rating8.525th
CFP odds3%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.8of 12
Fan pulse+2▲24
SEC · #20 AP · 5-2 · 3-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 4-3
Florida
Gators · HC Jon Sumrall (1st yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating8.525th
CFP odds · outlook3%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.8of 12
Fan pulse+2▲24
Florida
#20 · 5-2 · 3-2 SEC
POWER RATING8.525th in FBS
CFP ODDS3%no change
PROJ. WINS7.8of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 3% in sims · CCG 11% · title 4%
FAN PULSE+2▲24
28 pts below the model ·Coverage →
RECORD5-2
ATS · O/U4-3 · 4-3
POSTGAME WE · AVG65%4.5 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1526th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic | W66–21 | −26.5−26.5 | W | +0.73 | 57% | 39% | 99% | O 59.5 | — | |
EPA +0.73 · SR 57% · O 59.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   CampbellCampbell | W52–3 | −51.5−51.5 | L | +0.94 | 70% | 28% | 100% | U 67 | — | |
EPA +0.94 · SR 70% · U 67WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Auburnat Auburn | W44–39 | −2.5−2.5 | W | +0.09 | 39% | 45% | 71% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA +0.09 · SR 39% · O 53.5WE 71% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   Ole MissOle Miss | W52–28 | −4−4 | W | +0.34 | 61% | 54% | 97% | O 58.5 | — | |
EPA +0.34 · SR 61% · O 58.5WE 97% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Missouriat Missouri | L17–45 | −5.5−5.5 | L | −0.53 | 31% | 52% | 16% | O 58 | — | |
EPA −0.53 · SR 31% · O 58WE 16% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   South CarolinaSouth Carolina | L19–38 | −10.5−10.5 | L | −0.40 | 42% | 45% | 15% | U 59.5 | — | |
EPA −0.40 · SR 42% · U 59.5WE 15% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Texasat Texas | W27–24 | +13.5+13.5 | W | +0.23 | 36% | 42% | 58% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.23 · SR 36% · U 51.5WE 58% | |||||||||||
| 8 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 9 |   vs Georgia · Atlantavs GeorgiaNEXT | SAT 3:30 ABCSAT 3:30 | +10+10 | — | — | — | — | 29% | 56 | +9 | |
MODEL +9 · TOTAL 56WP 29% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   OklahomaOklahoma | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−6.4 | 65% | −6.4 | ||||||
MODEL −6.4WP 65% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Kentuckyat Kentucky | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−0.8 | 52% | −0.8 | ||||||
MODEL −0.8WP 52% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   VanderbiltVanderbilt | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−13.3 | 79% | −13.3 | ||||||
MODEL −13.3WP 79% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Florida Stateat Florida State | NOV 27NOV 27 | —−2.5 | 56% | −2.5 | ||||||
MODEL −2.5WP 56% | |||||||||||