Sun Belt · 4-2 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 4-2
Georgia State Panthers
HC Dell McGee (2nd yr) · OC Hue Jackson · DC —
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 5) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 94%
Sun Belt · 4-2 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 4-2
Georgia State
Panthers · HC Dell McGee (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 5) · base D 3-3-5
Georgia State
4-2 · 1-1 Sun Belt
2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 2% · title 1%
Latest from the beat
GEORGIA STATE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   North Carolina A&TNorth Carolina A&T | W59–10 | −28.5−28.5 | W | +0.90 | 63% | 25% | 99% | 70 | 28.6 | |
| 2 |   at Kennesaw Stateat Kennesaw State | W31–17 | +7.5+7.5 | W | +0.28 | 50% | 41% | 80% | 66 | 35.1 | |
| 3 |   at UCFat UCF | L30–44 | +17.5+17.5 | W | −0.20 | 38% | 42% | 14% | 85 | 23.7 | |
| 4 |   Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois | W35–14 | −9−9 | W | +0.06 | 43% | 41% | 82% | 56 | 29.5 | |
| 5 |   Old DominionOld Dominion | W42–10 | −2−2 | W | +0.87 | 58% | 24% | 96% | 67 | 34.7 | |
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   at James Madisonat James Madison | L22–49 | +7.5+7.5 | L | −0.60 | 45% | 47% | 8% | 66 | 26.8 | |
| 8 |   at Arkansas Stateat Arkansas StateNEXT | SAT 7:00 ESPN+SAT 7:00 | −2.5−2.5 | — | — | — | — | 53% | 130 | — | |
| 9 |   Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina | OCT 31OCT 31 | −6.8 proj−6.8 | 66% | |||||||
| 10 |   at App Stateat App State | NOV 7NOV 7 | +3.2 proj+3.2 | 42% | |||||||
| 11 |   Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern | NOV 14NOV 14 | 0 proj0 | 50% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Marshallat Marshall | NOV 21NOV 21 | −3.6 proj−3.6 | 59% | |||||||
| 13 |   LouisianaLouisiana | NOV 28NOV 28 | 0 proj0 | 50% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 334 OF 336 PLAYS334 OF 336 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun94% | 94% | 47% | +0.20 | 47% |
| Under center6% | 6% | 35% | −0.16 | 40% |
| No-huddle70% | 70% | 48% | +0.28 | 47% |
| Huddle30% | 30% | 41% | −0.07 | 45% |
In shotgun on 94 % of tagged snaps, passing 47 % of the time (+0.20 EPA a play; −0.16 under center). No-huddle on 70 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 4 of 5 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (2 of 5).
Next game
SAT 7:00 ESPN+ · CENTENNIAL BANK STADIUMSAT 7:00 ESPN+
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Belt crews−0.6 to +0.2 · 41 games | −0.2 | −0.6 to +0.2 | 41 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 6 games | +1.4 | — | 6 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 3 games | +0.3 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 1 game | −2.4 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 1 game | −0.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 1 game | +1.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 1 game | +2.9 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Georgia State than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Georgia State than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Georgia StateGAST | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.13 | 40th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 44.9% | 36th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.32 | 44th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.09 | 55th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.22 | 28th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 35.4% | 12th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.41 | 38th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 3.2% | 31st | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 51% | 17th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.67 | 48th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 78% | 11th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 28.4 | 77th | 28.0 |