Mountain West · 1-6 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 1-6
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
HC Timmy Chang (5th yr) · OC Anthony Arceneaux · DC Dennis Thurman
STARTS IN 10 PERSONNEL (3 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 98%
Mountain West · 1-6 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 1-6
Hawai'i
Rainbow Warriors · HC Timmy Chang (5th yr) · starts in 10 (3 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Hawai'i
1-6 · 0-4 Mountain West
6 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
HAWAI'I · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Stanfordat Stanford | L27–37 | +5+5 | L | −0.20 | 36% | 45% | 31% | 74 | 23.9 | |
| 1 |   UNLVUNLV | L6–21 | +3+3 | L | −0.22 | 34% | 39% | 17% | 77 | 26.4 | |
| 2 |   New Mexico StateNew Mexico State | W29–19 | −7.5−7.5 | W | +0.09 | 43% | 48% | 67% | 74 | 26.3 | |
| 3 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 4 |   at Wyomingat Wyoming | L10–27 | −2.5−2.5 | L | −0.34 | 42% | 55% | 10% | 67 | — | |
| 5 |   San José StateSan José State | L16–20 | −3−3 | L | +0.03 | 43% | 37% | 37% | 60 | 26.5 | |
| 6 |   at Arizona Stateat Arizona State | L12–30 | +20.5+20.5 | W | −0.38 | 39% | 55% | 13% | 72 | 26.1 | |
| 7 |   New MexicoNew Mexico | L10–21 | +14.5+14.5 | W | −0.37 | 36% | 35% | 17% | 66 | 24.7 | |
| 8 |   at Northern Illinoisat Northern IllinoisNEXT | SAT 3:30 MW+SAT 3:30 | −4−4 | — | — | — | — | 58% | 133 | — | |
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   at UTEPat UTEP | NOV 7NOV 7 | −5.8 proj−5.8 | 64% | |||||||
| 11 |   North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State | NOV 14NOV 14 | +13.4 proj+13.4 | 21% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Nevadaat Nevada | NOV 21NOV 21 | +6.9 proj+6.9 | 34% | |||||||
| 13 |   Sacramento StateSacramento State | NOV 28NOV 28 | −13.3 proj−13.3 | 79% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 488 OF 490 PLAYS488 OF 490 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun98% | 98% | 68% | −0.06 | 39% |
| Under center2% | 2% | 44% | −0.81 | 56% |
| No-huddle43% | 43% | 70% | −0.10 | 42% |
| Huddle57% | 57% | 66% | −0.06 | 36% |
In shotgun on 98 % of tagged snaps, passing 68 % of the time (−0.06 EPA a play; −0.81 under center). No-huddle on 43 %. Starts in 10 personnel in 3 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (7 of 7).
Next game
SAT 3:30 MW+ · HUSKIE STADIUMSAT 3:30 MW+
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain West crews−0.4 to +0.4 · 44 games | 0.0 | −0.4 to +0.4 | 44 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 5 games | −0.6 | — | 5 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 3 games | −0.6 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 2 games | 0.0 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | +2.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 1 game | −0.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | +2.4 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Hawai'i than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Hawai'i than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Hawai'iHAW | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | −0.07 | 118th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 39.0% | 109th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.25 | 108th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | −0.04 | 126th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.04 | 106th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 26.9% | 131st | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.00 | 99th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.5% | 86th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36% | 102nd | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.03 | 132nd | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 33% | 136th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 25.6 | 27th | 28.0 |