Big Ten · #15 AP · 5-1 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4
Iowa Hawkeyes
HC Kirk Ferentz (13th yr) · OC Tim Lester · DC Phil Parker
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (3 OF 5) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 69%
Power rating7.826th
CFP odds9%—
PLAYOFFIN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.6of 12
Fan pulse+4▼3
Big Ten · #15 AP · 5-1 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4
Iowa
Hawkeyes · HC Kirk Ferentz (13th yr) · starts in 12 (3 of 5) · base D 4-3-4
Power rating7.826th
CFP odds · outlook9%—IN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.6of 12
Fan pulse+4▼3
Iowa
#15 · 5-1 · 2-1 Big Ten
POWER RATING7.826th in FBS
CFP ODDS9%no change
PROJ. WINS8.6of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→LONG SHOT
1 loss now · CFP 9% in sims · CCG 7% · title 2%
FAN PULSE+4▼3
39 pts below the model ·Coverage →
RECORD5-1
ATS · O/U4-2 · 2-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG69%4.1 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1333rd FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois | W40–0 | −32−32 | W | +1.21 | 48% | 5% | 100% | U 44.5 | — | |
EPA +1.21 · SR 48% · U 44.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Iowa StateIowa State | W16–13 | −14−14 | L | +0.07 | 39% | 30% | 62% | U 42.5 | — | |
EPA +0.07 · SR 39% · U 42.5WE 62% | |||||||||||
| 3 |  Northern IowaNorthern Iowa | W55–0 | −37.5−37.5 | W | +1.25 | 78% | 23% | 100% | O 49 | — | |
EPA +1.25 · SR 78% · O 49WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Michiganat Michigan | W20–19 | +5+5 | W | −0.06 | 29% | 46% | 49% | U 40 | — | |
EPA −0.06 · SR 29% · U 40WE 49% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   Ohio StateOhio State | L14–31 | +14.5+14.5 | L | −0.62 | 33% | 51% | 16% | U 46 | — | |
EPA −0.62 · SR 33% · U 46WE 16% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Washingtonat Washington | W41–24 | +3+3 | W | +0.58 | 65% | 36% | 88% | O 41.5 | — | |
EPA +0.58 · SR 65% · O 41.5WE 88% | |||||||||||
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Minnesotaat MinnesotaNEXT | SAT 3:30 FS1SAT 3:30 | −7.5−7.5 | — | — | — | — | 70% | 40.5 | −8.6 | |
MODEL −8.6 · TOTAL 40.5WP 70% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   WisconsinWisconsin | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−4.9 | 62% | −4.9 | ||||||
MODEL −4.9WP 62% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Northwesternat Northwestern | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+3.4 | 42% | +3.4 | ||||||
MODEL +3.4WP 42% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   PurduePurdue | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−10 | 73% | −10 | ||||||
MODEL −10WP 73% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Illinoisat Illinois | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−6.3 | 65% | −6.3 | ||||||
MODEL −6.3WP 65% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   NebraskaNebraska | NOV 27NOV 27 | —+1.9 | 45% | +1.9 | ||||||
MODEL +1.9WP 45% | |||||||||||