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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

C-USA · 1-6 · 0-3 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 1-6

Kennesaw State Owls

HC Jerry Mack (2nd yr) · OC Mitch Militello · DC Marc Mattioli

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 92%

Power rating−8.9118th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins3.2of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored

C-USA · 1-6 · 0-3 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 1-6

Kennesaw State

Owls · HC Jerry Mack (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 6) · base D 3-3-5

Power rating−8.9118th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins3.2of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored

Kennesaw State

1-6 · 0-3 C-USA

POWER RATING−8.9118th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS3.2of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

6 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored

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KENNESAW STATE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Kennesaw State schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1West GeorgiaWest GeorgiaW47–0−22.5−22.5W+1.0859%13%100%8228.3
2Georgia StateGeorgia StateL17–31−7.5−7.5L−0.2841%50%20%5623.8
3at Tennesseeat TennesseeL9–42+35.5+35.5W−0.6032%55%1%6427.5
4at Arkansas Stateat Arkansas StateL14–17+6.5+6.5W−0.1748%48%40%6325.8
5BYE
6Jacksonville StateJacksonville StateL26–27+3+3W+0.0541%44%50%6328.1
7at Missouri Stateat Missouri StateL21–24−2.5−2.5L−0.0542%42%44%6424.1
8LibertyLibertyL6–34+8.5+8.5L−0.6137%42%4%6920.1
9at Middle Tennesseeat Middle TennesseeNEXTWED 7:00 CBSSNWED 7:00+3.5+3.5————42%——
10DelawareDelawareNOV 7NOV 7−2.2 proj−2.255%
11at Sam Houstonat Sam HoustonNOV 14NOV 14+2.5 proj+2.544%
12Florida InternationalFlorida InternationalNOV 21NOV 21+2.6 proj+2.644%
13at Western Kentuckyat Western KentuckyNOV 28NOV 28+4.9 proj+4.938%

Success rate by down & distance

1st100%n 460%n 545%n 15638%n 8
2nd74%n 1958%n 2636%n 6121%n 19
3rd71%n 2126%n 1911%n 1829%n 14
4th38%n 80%n 30%n 1—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 380 OF 382 PLAYS380 OF 382 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun92%92%54%+0.0144%
Under center8%8%48%−0.4034%
No-huddle87%87%55%−0.0142%
Huddle13%13%40%−0.0548%
StartersSTARTERS
116 of 6 gamesBASE D3-3-54 of 7
116 of 63-3-5base D · 4 of 7

In shotgun on 92 % of tagged snaps, passing 54 % of the time (+0.01 EPA a play; −0.40 under center). No-huddle on 87 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 6 of 6 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (4 of 7).

Next game

WED 7:00 CBSSN · JOHNNY "RED" FLOYD STADIUMWED 7:00 CBSSN

at Middle TennesseeLINE+3.5MODEL+3.3WP42%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
C-USA crews−0.2 to +0.7 · 24 games+0.3−0.2 to +0.724NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 4 games−1.6—4NOISE
American crews— · 2 games−2.6—2NOISE
ACC crews— · 1 game−5.4—1NOISE
MAC crews— · 1 game−3.2—1NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 1 game+2.3—1NOISE
SEC crews— · 1 game+2.3—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTRodney Burnette−1.7 / g · 4 games · noise−1.7 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTReed Brotherton+2.3 / g · 3 games · noise+2.3 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Kennesaw State than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Kennesaw State than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Kennesaw State offense statistics
MetricStat
Kennesaw StateKENN
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.03105th+0.06
Success rate40.8%83rd42.3%
Explosiveness1.19134th1.30
Rush EPA / play−0.01121st+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.04108th+0.11
Passing downs SR29.4%102nd31.1%
Line yards3.0995th3.21
Sack rate allowed3.0%23rd5.3%
3rd-down conversion38%94th41%
Points / opportunity4.3566th4.27
Red zone TD rate65%65th63%
Seconds / play24.815th28.0