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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Sun Belt · 5-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 2-5

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

HC Michael Desormeaux (5th yr) · OC Tim Leger · DC Jim Salgado

STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 97%

Power rating−0.371st
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.3of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Sun Belt · 5-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 2-5

Louisiana

Ragin' Cajuns · HC Michael Desormeaux (5th yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 7) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−0.371st
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.3of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Louisiana

5-2 · 2-1 Sun Belt

POWER RATING−0.371st in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS8.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT

2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 23% · title 7%

FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored

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LOUISIANA · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Louisiana schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1LamarLamarW38–7−20.5−20.5W+0.7459%42%95%7129.9
2at USCat USCL30–49+31+31W−0.2131%54%17%5229.9
3UABUABW21–14−7−7P+0.1433%35%64%7329.7
4at Charlotteat CharlotteW34–7−9.5−9.5W+0.7140%20%95%7833.9
5Arkansas StateArkansas StateW23–20−5.5−5.5L+0.1156%43%57%6432.4
6at Louisiana Techat Louisiana TechL31–32+3+3W−0.1135%53%42%5727.0
7TroyTroyW33–6−3−3W+0.4149%36%96%7231.6
8at Southern Missat Southern MissNEXTSAT 5:00 ESPN+SAT 5:00−10−10————67%135—
9BYE
10South AlabamaSouth AlabamaNOV 7NOV 7−7.8 proj−7.868%
11at UL Monroeat UL MonroeNOV 12NOV 12−13.3 proj−13.379%
12Coastal CarolinaCoastal CarolinaNOV 21NOV 21−9.2 proj−9.271%
13at Georgia Stateat Georgia StateNOV 28NOV 280 proj050%

Success rate by down & distance

1st80%n 5100%n 241%n 17038%n 8
2nd78%n 1843%n 2838%n 6925%n 20
3rd65%n 1737%n 2735%n 2318%n 11
4th83%n 6—n 0—n 0—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 401 OF 404 PLAYS401 OF 404 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun97%97%39%+0.1042%
Under center3%3%8%+0.2167%
No-huddle61%61%34%+0.1047%
Huddle39%39%45%+0.1236%
StartersSTARTERS
124 of 7 games113 of 7BASE D4-2-55 of 7
124 of 74-2-5base D · 5 of 7

In shotgun on 97 % of tagged snaps, passing 39 % of the time (+0.10 EPA a play; +0.21 under center). No-huddle on 61 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 4 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (5 of 7).

Next game

SAT 5:00 ESPN+ · M. M. ROBERTS STADIUMSAT 5:00 ESPN+

at Southern MissLINE−10MODEL−7.4WP67%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Darrell SmithRB · FR
RB · top injury
NEXT UPK. SmithΔ −0.05 EPA/play
0%TO PLAY
−0.3IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.3 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
Sun Belt crews−0.5 to +0.3 · 48 games−0.1−0.5 to +0.348NOISE
American crews— · 4 games−1.4—4NOISE
ACC crews— · 2 games+3.1—2NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 2 games+1.9—2NOISE
C-USA crews— · 2 games+2.1—2NOISE
SEC crews— · 1 game−1.9—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTTed Pitts−1.9 / g · 8 games · noise−1.9 / g · 8 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTTrennis Livingston+1.9 / g · 7 games · noise+1.9 / g · 7 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Louisiana than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Louisiana than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Louisiana offense statistics
MetricStat
LouisianaUL
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.0287th+0.06
Success rate40.1%93rd42.3%
Explosiveness1.25110th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.1142nd+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.0882nd+0.11
Passing downs SR31.0%72nd31.1%
Line yards3.3053rd3.21
Sack rate allowed4.6%57th5.3%
3rd-down conversion42%58th41%
Points / opportunity4.8932nd4.27
Red zone TD rate75%15th63%
Seconds / play30.0106th28.0