C-USA · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
HC Derek Mason (3rd yr) · OC Anthony Scelfo · DC Brian Stewart
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 92%
Power rating−8.1114th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.3of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
C-USA · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4
Middle Tennessee
Blue Raiders · HC Derek Mason (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−8.1114th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.3of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Middle Tennessee
4-3 · 2-1 C-USA
POWER RATING−8.1114th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 8% · title 2%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
RECORD4-3
ATS · O/U5-2 · 3-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG46%3.2 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.13108th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Murray StateMurray State | W38–14 | −22.5−22.5 | W | +0.52 | 54% | 40% | 90% | U 56 | — | |
EPA +0.52 · SR 54% · U 56WE 90% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Marshallat Marshall | L26–28 | +12.5+12.5 | W | −0.03 | 43% | 45% | 48% | U 56 | — | |
EPA −0.03 · SR 43% · U 56WE 48% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   NevadaNevada | W27–20 | +4+4 | W | +0.21 | 38% | 36% | 56% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.21 · SR 38% · U 50.5WE 56% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Jacksonville Stateat Jacksonville State | L13–23 | +7+7 | L | −0.24 | 41% | 58% | 15% | U 51 | — | |
EPA −0.24 · SR 41% · U 51WE 15% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Kansasat Kansas | L0–55 | +21+21 | L | −1.00 | 17% | 60% | 0% | O 51 | — | |
EPA −1.00 · SR 17% · O 51WE 0% | |||||||||||
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   DelawareDelaware | W33–30 | +1.5+1.5 | W | +0.01 | 43% | 42% | 50% | O 49.5 | — | |
EPA +0.01 · SR 43% · O 49.5WE 50% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Florida Internationalat Florida International | W26–23 | +10.5+10.5 | W | +0.15 | 47% | 44% | 63% | O 46.5 | — | |
EPA +0.15 · SR 47% · O 46.5WE 63% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Kennesaw StateKennesaw StateNEXT | WED 7:00 CBSSNWED 7:00 | −3.5−3.5 | — | — | — | — | 58% | 50.5 | −3.3 | |
MODEL −3.3 · TOTAL 50.5WP 58% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−1 | 52% | −1 | ||||||
MODEL −1WP 52% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Libertyat Liberty | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+16.6 | 16% | +16.6 | ||||||
MODEL +16.6WP 16% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Sam Houstonat Sam Houston | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+1.7 | 46% | +1.7 | ||||||
MODEL +1.7WP 46% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   New Mexico StateNew Mexico State | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−2 | 55% | −2 | ||||||
MODEL −2WP 55% | |||||||||||