SEC · 4-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3
Mississippi State Bulldogs
HC Jeff Lebby (3rd yr) · OC — · DC Zach Arnett
STARTS IN 10 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
Power rating6.928th
CFP odds1%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.5of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
SEC · 4-2 · 2-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3
Mississippi State
Bulldogs · HC Jeff Lebby (3rd yr) · starts in 10 (3 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating6.928th
CFP odds · outlook1%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.5of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Mississippi State
4-2 · 2-2 SEC
POWER RATING6.928th in FBS
CFP ODDS1%no change
PROJ. WINS7.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 1% in sims · CCG 2% · title 1%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
RECORD4-2
ATS · O/U4-2 · 3-3
POSTGAME WE · AVG55%3.3 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1427th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   UL MonroeUL Monroe | W62–13 | −28.5−28.5 | W | +0.92 | 60% | 28% | 100% | O 55 | — | |
EPA +0.92 · SR 60% · O 55WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Minnesotaat Minnesota | W38–13 | −0.5−0.5 | W | +0.68 | 64% | 41% | 99% | U 53.5 | — | |
EPA +0.68 · SR 64% · U 53.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at South Carolinaat South Carolina | W41–34 | +3+3 | W | +0.27 | 47% | 38% | 54% | O 59.5 | — | |
EPA +0.27 · SR 47% · O 59.5WE 54% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   MissouriMissouri | W31–24 | −3.5−3.5 | W | +0.06 | 46% | 43% | 67% | U 58.5 | — | |
EPA +0.06 · SR 46% · U 58.5WE 67% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   AlabamaAlabama | L23–56 | +5.5+5.5 | L | −0.66 | 36% | 57% | 6% | O 62 | — | |
EPA −0.66 · SR 36% · O 62WE 6% | |||||||||||
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   at LSUat LSU | L0–31 | +17.5+17.5 | L | −0.57 | 41% | 71% | 1% | U 56.5 | — | |
EPA −0.57 · SR 41% · U 56.5WE 1% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   OklahomaOklahomaNEXT | SAT 3:30 SEC NetworkSAT 3:30 | +2.5+2.5 | — | — | — | — | 61% | 47.5 | −4.8 | |
MODEL −4.8 · TOTAL 47.5WP 61% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at Texasat Texas | OCT 31OCT 31 | —+7.2 | 33% | +7.2 | ||||||
MODEL +7.2WP 33% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   VanderbiltVanderbilt | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−11.8 | 76% | −11.8 | ||||||
MODEL −11.8WP 76% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   AuburnAuburn | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−2.6 | 56% | −2.6 | ||||||
MODEL −2.6WP 56% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   Tennessee TechTennessee Tech | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−32.5 | 98% | −32.5 | ||||||
MODEL −32.5WP 98% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Ole Missat Ole Miss | NOV 27NOV 27 | —+8.7 | 30% | +8.7 | ||||||
MODEL +8.7WP 30% | |||||||||||