C-USA · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Missouri State Bears
HC Casey Woods (1st yr) · OC Mark Cala · DC Jack Curtis
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 3-2-6 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating−8.8118th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins3.9of 12
Fan pulse—6 of 30 scored
C-USA · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Missouri State
Bears · HC Casey Woods (1st yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 7) · base D 3-2-6
Power rating−8.8118th
CFP odds0%—
Proj. wins3.9of 12
Fan pulse—6 of 30 scored
Missouri State
2-5 · 1-2 C-USA
POWER RATING−8.8118th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS3.9of 12 games
Fan sentiment
NET · WEEKLY · 2026NET SENTIMENT −100 TO +100 · WEEKLY · 2026FANSHAVOC MODEL EXPECTATIONUNDER 30 SCORED POSTS · NO SCOREPOSTS / WEEK
FANSMODELUNDER 30 SCORED
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · @TAMU | no score (too few posts) | — | 4 | — |
| WK 2 · LIN | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 3 · MRSH | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 4 · @SMU | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 5 | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 6 · @WKU | no score (too few posts) | −31 | 0 | — |
| WK 7 · KENN | no score (too few posts) | −23 | 8 | — |
| WK 8 · @DEL | no score (too few posts) | −34 | 6 so far | — |
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · @TAMU | no score (too few posts) | — | 4 | — |
| WK 2 · LIN | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 3 · MRSH | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 4 · @SMU | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 5 | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 6 · @WKU | no score (too few posts) | −31 | 0 | — |
| WK 7 · KENN | no score (too few posts) | −23 | 8 | — |
| WK 8 · @DEL | no score (too few posts) | −34 | 6 so far | — |
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · @TAMU | no score (too few posts) | — | 4 | — |
| WK 2 · LIN | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 3 · MRSH | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 4 · @SMU | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 5 | no score (too few posts) | — | 0 | — |
| WK 6 · @WKU | no score (too few posts) | −31 | 0 | — |
| WK 7 · KENN | no score (too few posts) | −23 | 8 | — |
| WK 8 · @DEL | no score (too few posts) | −34 | 6 so far | — |
NET SENTIMENT = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 18 SINCE WK 1 · BLUESKY 50% · REDDIT 50%
A WEEK SCORES AT 30 SCORED POSTS · MODEL = POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
NET = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 18 SINCE WK 1 · BLUESKY 50% · REDDIT 50%
A WEEK SCORES AT 30 SCORED POSTS · MODEL = POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
A WEEK SCORES AT 30 SCORED · n 18 SINCE WK 1 · BLUESKY 50% · REDDIT 50% · UPDATED 7:06 AM ET
Fan pulse
WK 8 · SO FAR—6 of 30 scored
Model expects−34
0 SCORED30 · WEEKLY SCORE
Not enough posts for a fan pulse yet.
A weekly score needs 30 scored posts; Missouri State fans have 6 since Monday.
A weekly score needs 30 scored posts; Missouri State fans have 6 since Monday.
Where this week’s posts come from | Posts | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| LastRowPat | 50% | 3 |
Who covers Missouri State
8 SOURCES · GRADED8 SOURCES · GRADED AGAINST OFFICIAL REPORTSReporter | Reporter | Links | Tier | Hit rate | First | Lead | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MS officialMissouri State AthleticsMissouri State Athletics · Team official · missouristatebears.com/ | MS Missouri State AthleticsMissouri State Athletics · Team officialMissouri State Athletics ·missouristatebears.com/ | missouristatebears.com/PDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
MS officialMissouri State FootballMissouri State Athletics · Team official · missouristatebears.com/sports/football | MS Missouri State FootballMissouri State Athletics · Team officialMissouri State Athletics ·missouristatebears.com/sports/football | missouristatebears.com/sports/footballPDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
MS officialMissouri State football news (athletics site)missouristatebears.com · Team official · missouristatebears.com/sports/football | MS Missouri State football news (athletics site)missouristatebears.com · Team officialmissouristatebears.com ·missouristatebears.com/sports/football | missouristatebears.com/sports/footballPDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | Fri |
MD Mikey DiLulloreported Springfield News-Leader · Beat writermuckrack.com/mikey-dilullo· last — source of truth · reference for grading | MD Mikey DiLulloSpringfield News-Leader · Beat writerSpringfield News-Leader ·muckrack.com/mikey-dilullo | muckrack.com/mikey-dilulloSite | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
RC Ryan Collingwoodreported Springfield Daily Citizen · Beat writermuckrack.com/ryan-collingwood· last — source of truth · reference for grading | RC Ryan CollingwoodSpringfield Daily Citizen · Beat writerSpringfield Daily Citizen ·muckrack.com/ryan-collingwood | muckrack.com/ryan-collingwoodSite | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
SD Springfield Daily Citizenreported Springfield Daily Citizen · Beat writer@sgfcitizen.bsky.social· last 16h source of truth · reference for grading | SD Springfield Daily CitizenSpringfield Daily Citizen · Beat writerSpringfield Daily Citizen ·@sgfcitizen.bsky.social | @sgfcitizen.bsky.socialBluesky · Site | reported | source of truth | — | — | 16h |
SE Sully Engelsreported KY3 · Beat writerwww.ky3.com/sports/· last — source of truth · reference for grading | SE Sully EngelsKY3 · Beat writerKY3 ·www.ky3.com/sports/ | www.ky3.com/sports/Site | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
TE Tabitha Easterwoodreported KSMU Ozarks Public Radio · Beat writerwww.ksmu.org/people/tabitha-easterwood· last — source of truth · reference for grading | TE Tabitha EasterwoodKSMU Ozarks Public Radio · Beat writerKSMU Ozarks Public Radio ·www.ksmu.org/people/tabitha-easterwood | www.ksmu.org/people/tabitha-easterwoodSite | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
HIT RATE = CLAIMS LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT OR BOX-SCORE PARTICIPATIONHIT = LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT
FIRST = SHARE OF CONFIRMED CLAIMS THEY BROKE · LEAD = MEDIAN HOURS AHEAD OF THE OFFICIAL REPORTFIRST = SHARE THEY BROKE · LEAD = HOURS AHEAD
NEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR · REPORTED AT ≥ 75% OVER 8 GRADED CLAIMSNEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR
Latest from the beat
LAST 72 H · 0 CLAIMSNo claims in this window.
How a tip becomes a status
- 1A free source posts a tipForum, Reddit, Bluesky or RSS. “The starting QB missed practice.”
- 2One targeted X checkfrom:[Missouri State writers] · last 72 h
- 3A cited status, graded laterShown next to the official one. Scored against the next report.
- official
- Conference report or team statement. The status of record.
- reported
- Writer with a proven record. Shown beside official, cited.
- rumor
- New, fan or unproven. Feed only until confirmed.
Fan sources
2 SOURCES · TIPS + PULSE2 SOURCES · TIPS AND FAN PULSESource | Source | Size | Posts / wk | Mood | Tier | Used for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B LastRowPatrumor Fan account · Bluesky75 followers3/ wkmood−20 | B LastRowPatFan account · Bluesky | 75 followers | 3 | −20 | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
W Missouri State Bearsofficial YouTube · Missouri State Athletics——mood— | W Missouri State BearsYouTube · Missouri State Athletics | — | — | — | official | TIPS |