C-USA · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Missouri State Bears
HC Casey Woods (1st yr) · OC Mark Cala · DC Jack Curtis
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 3-2-6 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating−8.8118th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins3.9of 12
Fan pulse—6 of 30 scored
C-USA · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Missouri State
Bears · HC Casey Woods (1st yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 7) · base D 3-2-6
Power rating−8.8118th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins3.9of 12
Fan pulse—6 of 30 scored
Missouri State
2-5 · 1-2 C-USA
POWER RATING−8.8118th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS3.9of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
5 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—6 of 30 scored
RECORD2-5
ATS · O/U3-4 · 3-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG34%2.4 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.15115th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Texas A&Mat Texas A&M | L0–50 | +39.5+39.5 | L | −0.94 | 17% | 53% | 0% | U 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.94 · SR 17% · U 53.5WE 0% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   LindenwoodLindenwood | W48–14 | −17−17 | W | +1.27 | 49% | 21% | 98% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA +1.27 · SR 49% · O 53.5WE 98% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   MarshallMarshall | L24–30 | +4+4 | L | +0.14 | 55% | 52% | 35% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.14 · SR 55% · O 52.5WE 35% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at SMUat SMU | L24–34 | +30.5+30.5 | W | −0.24 | 31% | 54% | 29% | U 60.5 | — | |
EPA −0.24 · SR 31% · U 60.5WE 29% | |||||||||||
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   at Western Kentuckyat Western Kentucky | L13–34 | −2−2 | L | −0.28 | 37% | 44% | 10% | U 57 | — | |
EPA −0.28 · SR 37% · U 57WE 10% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   Kennesaw StateKennesaw State | W24–21 | +2.5+2.5 | W | +0.05 | 42% | 42% | 56% | U 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.05 · SR 42% · U 52.5WE 56% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Delawareat Delaware | L38–61 | +3+3 | L | −0.27 | 57% | 52% | 9% | O 54.5 | — | |
EPA −0.27 · SR 57% · O 54.5WE 9% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Sam HoustonSam HoustonNEXT | TUE 8:00 ESPN2TUE 8:00 | −6.5−6.5 | — | — | — | — | 56% | 51.5 | −2.6 | |
MODEL −2.6 · TOTAL 51.5WP 56% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Florida Internationalat Florida International | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+7.4 | 33% | +7.4 | ||||||
MODEL +7.4WP 33% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   New Mexico StateNew Mexico State | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−1.1 | 53% | −1.1 | ||||||
MODEL −1.1WP 53% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Jacksonville Stateat Jacksonville State | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+8.7 | 30% | +8.7 | ||||||
MODEL +8.7WP 30% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   LibertyLiberty | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+13 | 21% | +13 | ||||||
MODEL +13WP 21% | |||||||||||