American · 2-4 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2
Navy Midshipmen
HC Brian Newberry (4th yr) · OC Drew Cronic · DC Eric Lewis
STARTS IN 31 PERSONNEL (4 OF 6) · BASE D 3-4-4 · SHOTGUN 57%
American · 2-4 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2
Navy
Midshipmen · HC Brian Newberry (4th yr) · starts in 31 (4 of 6) · base D 3-4-4
Navy
2-4 · 1-3 American
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
NAVY · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   TowsonTowson | W42–15 | −31−31 | L | +0.35 | 64% | 33% | 95% | 79 | 29.8 | |
| 2 |   at Florida Atlanticat Florida Atlantic | L30–38 | −4.5−4.5 | L | −0.42 | 32% | 48% | 34% | 57 | 28.6 | |
| 3 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 4 |   at UABat UAB | L20–24 | −6.5−6.5 | L | −0.10 | 48% | 40% | 42% | 71 | 30.4 | |
| 5 |   at Air Forceat Air Force | L9–14 | +3+3 | L | −0.11 | 29% | 35% | 41% | 48 | 31.6 | |
| 6 |   TulsaTulsa | W34–26 | −3−3 | W | +0.04 | 48% | 31% | 66% | 73 | 28.7 | |
| 7 |   at UTSAat UTSA | L34–38 | +5.5+5.5 | W | +0.19 | 50% | 44% | 40% | 56 | 32.6 | |
| 8 |   North TexasNorth TexasNEXT | SAT 3:30 CBSSNSAT 3:30 | +3+3 | — | — | — | — | 41% | 137 | — | |
| 9 |   vs Notre Dame · Foxboroughvs Notre Dame | OCT 31OCT 31 | +23 proj+23 | 8% | |||||||
| 10 |   TempleTemple | NOV 7NOV 7 | −9.8 proj−9.8 | 72% | |||||||
| 11 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 12 |   MemphisMemphis | NOV 21NOV 21 | +1.4 proj+1.4 | 47% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Charlotteat Charlotte | NOV 28NOV 28 | −14 proj−14 | 80% | |||||||
| 14 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 15 |   vs Army · East Rutherfordvs Army | DEC 12DEC 12 | +0.1 proj+0.1 | 50% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 359 OF 361 PLAYS359 OF 361 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun57% | 57% | 20% | +0.13 | 45% |
| Under center43% | 43% | 22% | +0.13 | 48% |
| No-huddle18% | 18% | 24% | +0.22 | 45% |
| Huddle82% | 82% | 20% | +0.11 | 47% |
In shotgun on 57 % of tagged snaps, passing 20 % of the time (+0.13 EPA a play; +0.13 under center). No-huddle on 18 %. Starts in 31 personnel in 4 of 6 games. Base defense 3-4-4 (4 of 5).
Next game
SAT 3:30 CBSSN · NAVY-MARINE CORPS MEMORIAL STADIUMSAT 3:30 CBSSN
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American crews−0.4 to +0.4 · 48 games | 0.0 | −0.4 to +0.4 | 48 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 3 games | +0.2 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 2 games | −0.3 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 1 game | +0.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | −2.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Navy than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Navy than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | NavyNAVY | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.09 | 50th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 44.3% | 42nd | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.28 | 76th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.19 | 4th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.09 | 78th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 27.6% | 122nd | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.75 | 4th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 9.2% | 132nd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42% | 57th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.56 | 58th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 71% | 36th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 29.8 | 104th | 28.0 |