Mountain West · 2-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3
Nevada Wolf Pack
HC Jeff Choate (3rd yr) · OC Brett Bartolone · DC Kane Ioane
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Mountain West · 2-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3
Nevada
Wolf Pack · HC Jeff Choate (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 6) · base D 3-3-5
Nevada
2-4 · 1-2 Mountain West
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
NEVADA · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky | W49–14 | +0.5+0.5 | W | +0.61 | 51% | 45% | 97% | 56 | 30.9 | |
| 2 |   Montana StateMontana State | L7–20 | +5+5 | L | −0.34 | 38% | 47% | 20% | 71 | 22.6 | |
| 3 |   at Middle Tennesseeat Middle Tennessee | L20–27 | −4−4 | L | −0.21 | 36% | 38% | 44% | 58 | 26.7 | |
| 4 |   Air ForceAir Force | L33–36 | +5.5+5.5 | W | −0.04 | 41% | 44% | 43% | 66 | 25.8 | |
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   at UTEPat UTEP | W30–13 | −10−10 | W | +0.51 | 46% | 17% | 84% | 70 | 28.1 | |
| 7 |   at North Dakota Stateat North Dakota State | L17–31 | +14.5+14.5 | W | −0.32 | 30% | 41% | 14% | 57 | 23.9 | |
| 8 |   San José StateSan José StateNEXT | SAT 5:00 MW+SAT 5:00 | −6.5−6.5 | — | — | — | — | 61% | 129 | — | |
| 9 |   at UCLAat UCLA | OCT 31OCT 31 | +21 proj+21 | 10% | |||||||
| 10 |   New MexicoNew Mexico | NOV 6NOV 6 | +11.2 proj+11.2 | 25% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Northern Illinoisat Northern Illinois | NOV 14NOV 14 | −7.6 proj−7.6 | 68% | |||||||
| 12 |   Hawai'iHawai'i | NOV 21NOV 21 | −6.9 proj−6.9 | 66% | |||||||
| 13 |   at UNLVat UNLV | NOV 28NOV 28 | +10.9 proj+10.9 | 25% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 362 OF 363 PLAYS362 OF 363 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun99% | 99% | 47% | −0.02 | 40% |
| Under center1% | 1% | 0% | +0.26 | 25% |
| No-huddle78% | 78% | 48% | −0.02 | 39% |
| Huddle22% | 22% | 43% | −0.03 | 42% |
In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 47 % of the time (−0.02 EPA a play; +0.26 under center). No-huddle on 78 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 6 of 6 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (4 of 6).
Next game
SAT 5:00 MW+ · MACKAY STADIUMSAT 5:00 MW+
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain West crews−0.4 to +0.5 · 43 games | +0.1 | −0.4 to +0.5 | 43 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 4 games | −0.4 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 2 games | −0.5 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 2 games | +1.5 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | +0.9 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 1 game | −0.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 1 game | −2.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 1 game | −1.7 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Nevada than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Nevada than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | NevadaNEV | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | −0.03 | 107th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 38.4% | 120th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.30 | 67th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.11 | 43rd | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | −0.04 | 129th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 29.6% | 98th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.36 | 45th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 3.0% | 23rd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39% | 84th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.03 | 83rd | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 53% | 113th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 25.6 | 26th | 28.0 |