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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Mountain West · 2-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3

Nevada Wolf Pack

HC Jeff Choate (3rd yr) · OC Brett Bartolone · DC Kane Ioane

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 99%

Power rating−7.3110th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.5of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

Mountain West · 2-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3

Nevada

Wolf Pack · HC Jeff Choate (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 6) · base D 3-3-5

Power rating−7.3110th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.5of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

Nevada

2-4 · 1-2 Mountain West

POWER RATING−7.3110th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT

4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—3 of 30 scored

Coverage →

RECORD2-4
ATS · O/U4-2 · 3-3
POSTGAME WE · AVG50%3.0 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.12102nd FBS

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS

Nevada schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
WP · post / pre
O/U
Model
1Western KentuckyWestern KentuckyW49–14+0.5+0.5W+0.6151%45%97%O 51.5—
EPA +0.61 · SR 51% · O 51.5WE 97%
2Montana StateMontana StateL7–20+5+5L−0.3438%47%20%U 51.5—
EPA −0.34 · SR 38% · U 51.5WE 20%
3at Middle Tennesseeat Middle TennesseeL20–27−4−4L−0.2136%38%44%U 50.5—
EPA −0.21 · SR 36% · U 50.5WE 44%
4Air ForceAir ForceL33–36+5.5+5.5W−0.0441%44%43%O 50.5—
EPA −0.04 · SR 41% · O 50.5WE 43%
5BYE
6at UTEPat UTEPW30–13−10−10W+0.5146%17%84%U 48.5—
EPA +0.51 · SR 46% · U 48.5WE 84%
7at North Dakota Stateat North Dakota StateL17–31+14.5+14.5W−0.3230%41%14%O 42.5—
EPA −0.32 · SR 30% · O 42.5WE 14%
8San José StateSan José StateNEXTSAT 5:00 MW+SAT 5:00−6.5−6.5————61%46.5−4.8
MODEL −4.8 · TOTAL 46.5WP 61%
9at UCLAat UCLAOCT 31OCT 31—+21.410%+21.4
MODEL +21.4WP 10%
10New MexicoNew MexicoNOV 6NOV 6—+11.724%+11.7
MODEL +11.7WP 24%
11at Northern Illinoisat Northern IllinoisNOV 14NOV 14—−7.267%−7.2
MODEL −7.2WP 67%
12Hawai'iHawai'iNOV 21NOV 21—−6.164%−6.1
MODEL −6.1WP 64%
13at UNLVat UNLVNOV 28NOV 28—+1125%+11
MODEL +11WP 25%