ACC · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4
North Carolina Tar Heels
HC Bill Belichick (2nd yr) · OC Bobby Petrino · DC Steve Belichick
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 94%
Power rating2.553rd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.9of 12
Fan pulse−4▲7
ACC · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4
North Carolina
Tar Heels · HC Bill Belichick (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating2.553rd
CFP odds0%—
Proj. wins6.9of 12
Fan pulse−4▲7
North Carolina
4-2 · 2-1 ACC
POWER RATING2.553rd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.9of 12 games
Fan sentiment
NET −100 TO +100 · WEEKLYNET SENTIMENT −100 TO +100 · WEEKLY · 2026FANSHAVOC MODEL EXPECTATIONUNDER 30 SCORED POSTS · NO SCOREPOSTS / WEEK
FANSMODELUNDER 30 SCOREDPOSTS
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · TCU | no score (too few posts) | — | 88 | — |
| WK 2 · ETSU | no score (too few posts) | — | 2 | — |
| WK 3 · @CLEM | no score (too few posts) | — | 5 | — |
| WK 4 | no score (too few posts) | — | 3 | — |
| WK 5 · ND | no score (too few posts) | — | 4 | — |
| WK 6 · @PITT | −7 | +3 | 123 | — |
| WK 7 · @DUKE | −11 | +15 | 315 | — |
| WK 8 · SYR | −4 | +15 | 128 so far | — |
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · TCU | no score (too few posts) | — | 88 | — |
| WK 2 · ETSU | no score (too few posts) | — | 2 | — |
| WK 3 · @CLEM | no score (too few posts) | — | 5 | — |
| WK 4 | no score (too few posts) | — | 3 | — |
| WK 5 · ND | no score (too few posts) | — | 4 | — |
| WK 6 · @PITT | −7 | +3 | 123 | — |
| WK 7 · @DUKE | −11 | +15 | 315 | — |
| WK 8 · SYR | −4 | +15 | 128 so far | — |
| Week | Fans | Model | Posts | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK 1 · TCU | no score (too few posts) | — | 88 | — |
| WK 2 · ETSU | no score (too few posts) | — | 2 | — |
| WK 3 · @CLEM | no score (too few posts) | — | 5 | — |
| WK 4 | no score (too few posts) | — | 3 | — |
| WK 5 · ND | no score (too few posts) | — | 4 | — |
| WK 6 · @PITT | −7 | +3 | 123 | — |
| WK 7 · @DUKE | −11 | +15 | 315 | — |
| WK 8 · SYR | −4 | +15 | 128 so far | — |
NET SENTIMENT = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 668 SINCE WK 1 · REDDIT 100%
MODEL EXPECTATION = MOOD IMPLIED BY POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:03 AM ET
NET = % POSITIVE − % NEGATIVE POSTS · n 668 SINCE WK 1 · REDDIT 100%
MODEL EXPECTATION = MOOD IMPLIED BY POWER RATING + CFP ODDS · RIVAL FANS FILTERED · UPDATED 7:03 AM ET
n 668 POSTS SINCE WK 1 · UPDATED 7:03 AM ET
REDDIT 100%
MODEL = MOOD IMPLIED BY POWER RATING + CFP ODDS
Fan pulse
WK 8 · SO FAR−4▲ 7 vs wk 7
Model expects+15
−100 GLOOMY0EUPHORIC +100
Fans 19 pts gloomier than the model
North Carolina is 4-2 after a 4-point win over Duke. The mood rose after the Duke cover.
North Carolina is 4-2 after a 4-point win over Duke. The mood rose after the Duke cover.
Where this week’s posts come from | Mood | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| r/tarheels | 100% | −4 |
Who covers North Carolina
8 SOURCES · GRADED8 SOURCES · GRADED AGAINST OFFICIAL REPORTSReporter | Reporter | Links | Tier | Hit rate | First | Lead | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CA Carolina Athleticsofficial UNC Athletics · Team officialgoheels.com/· PDF · last — source of truth · reference for grading | CA Carolina AthleticsUNC Athletics · Team officialUNC Athletics ·goheels.com/ | goheels.com/PDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
CF Carolina Footballofficial UNC Athletics · Team officialgoheels.com/sports/football· PDF · last — source of truth · reference for grading | CF Carolina FootballUNC Athletics · Team officialUNC Athletics ·goheels.com/sports/football | goheels.com/sports/footballPDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
UF UNC football news (pressers)official goheels.com · Team officialgoheels.com/sports/football· PDF · last Sun source of truth · reference for grading | UF UNC football news (pressers)goheels.com · Team officialgoheels.com ·goheels.com/sports/football | goheels.com/sports/footballPDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | Sun |
UF UNC football press conferencesofficial UNC Athletics · Team officialgoheels.com/news/2026/10/5/football-watch-pre-pitt-fb-press-conferences· PDF · last — source of truth · reference for grading | UF UNC football press conferencesUNC Athletics · Team officialUNC Athletics ·goheels.com/news/2026/10/5/football-watch-pre-pitt-fb-press-conferences | goheels.com/news/2026/10/5/football-watch-pre-pitt-fb-press-conferencesPDF · reference for grading | official | source of truth | — | — | — |
AJ Alexandra Jonesreported The Daily Tar Heel · Beat writer@alexdjones_· last — source of truth · reference for grading | AJ Alexandra JonesThe Daily Tar Heel · Beat writerThe Daily Tar Heel ·@alexdjones_ | @alexdjones_Site | reported | source of truth | — | — | — |
TD The Daily Tar Heel footballreported The Daily Tar Heel (student paper) · Beat writerdailytarheel.com/category/sports/football/feed/· last 4d source of truth · reference for grading | TD The Daily Tar Heel footballThe Daily Tar Heel (student paper) · Beat writerThe Daily Tar Heel (student paper) ·dailytarheel.com/category/sports/football/feed/ | dailytarheel.com/category/sports/football/feed/RSS · Site | reported | source of truth | — | — | 4d |
AJ Andrew Jonesrumor TarHeel247 (247Sports North Carolina) · Insider247sports.com/college/north-carolina/user/AndrewJones247/· last — source of truth · reference for grading | AJ Andrew JonesTarHeel247 (247Sports North Carolina) · InsiderTarHeel247 (247Sports North Carolina) ·247sports.com/college/north-carolina/user/AndrewJones247/ | 247sports.com/college/north-carolina/user/AndrewJones247/Site | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
NW Noah Weiskopfrumor TarHeel247 (247Sports North Carolina) · Insider@NoahWeiskopf· last — source of truth · reference for grading | NW Noah WeiskopfTarHeel247 (247Sports North Carolina) · InsiderTarHeel247 (247Sports North Carolina) ·@NoahWeiskopf | @NoahWeiskopfSite | rumor | source of truth | — | — | — |
HIT RATE = CLAIMS LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT OR BOX-SCORE PARTICIPATIONHIT = LATER CONFIRMED BY THE OFFICIAL REPORT
FIRST = SHARE OF CONFIRMED CLAIMS THEY BROKE · LEAD = MEDIAN HOURS AHEAD OF THE OFFICIAL REPORTFIRST = SHARE THEY BROKE · LEAD = HOURS AHEAD
NEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR · REPORTED AT ≥ 75% OVER 8 GRADED CLAIMSNEW ACCOUNTS START AS RUMOR
Latest from the beat
LAST 72 H · 0 CLAIMSNo claims in this window.
How a tip becomes a status
- 1A free source posts a tipForum, Reddit, Bluesky or RSS. “The starting QB missed practice.”
- 2One targeted X checkfrom:[North Carolina writers] · last 72 h
- 3A cited status, graded laterShown next to the official one. Scored against the next report.
- official
- Conference report or team statement. The status of record.
- reported
- Writer with a proven record. Shown beside official, cited.
- rumor
- New, fan or unproven. Feed only until confirmed.
Fan sources
4 SOURCES · TIPS + PULSE4 SOURCES · TIPS AND FAN PULSESource | Source | Size | Posts / wk | Mood | Tier | Used for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
r/ r/tarheelsrumor Subreddit · Reddit—129/ wkmood−4 | r/ r/tarheelsSubreddit · Reddit | — | 129 | −4 | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
W GoHeelsofficial YouTube · UNC Athletics——mood— | W GoHeelsYouTube · UNC Athletics | — | — | — | official | TIPS |
B Keeping It Heelrumor Team blog · FanSided1.2k followers—mood— | B Keeping It HeelTeam blog · FanSided | 1.2k followers | — | — | rumor | TIPS · MOOD |
W Tar Heel Blogrumor Team blog · SB Nation——mood— | W Tar Heel BlogTeam blog · SB Nation | — | — | — | rumor | TIPS |