Big Ten · #3 AP · 6-1 · 4-0 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 4-3
Ohio State Buckeyes
HC Ryan Day (8th yr) · OC Arthur Smith · DC Matt Patricia
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 3-4-4 · SHOTGUN 75%
Power rating21.22nd
CFP odds88%—
PLAYOFFIN→LIKELY
Proj. wins9.9of 12
Fan pulse—11 of 30 scored
Big Ten · #3 AP · 6-1 · 4-0 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 4-3
Ohio State
Buckeyes · HC Ryan Day (8th yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 7) · base D 3-4-4
Power rating21.22nd
CFP odds · outlook88%—IN→LIKELY
Proj. wins9.9of 12
Fan pulse—11 of 30 scored
Ohio State
#3 · 6-1 · 4-0 Big Ten
POWER RATING21.22nd in FBS
CFP ODDS88%no change
PROJ. WINS9.9of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→LIKELY
1 loss now · CFP 88% in sims · CCG 79% · title 55%
FAN PULSE—11 of 30 scored
RECORD6-1
ATS · O/U5-2 · 4-3
POSTGAME WE · AVG83%5.8 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.352nd FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Ball StateBall State | W56–3 | −51−51 | W | +1.05 | 61% | 21% | 100% | O 56 | — | |
EPA +1.05 · SR 61% · O 56WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Texasat Texas | L23–24 | +2.5+2.5 | W | +0.03 | 38% | 48% | 46% | U 51 | — | |
EPA +0.03 · SR 38% · U 51WE 46% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Kent StateKent State | W59–3 | −52.5−52.5 | W | +0.94 | 66% | 14% | 100% | O 59 | — | |
EPA +0.94 · SR 66% · O 59WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   IllinoisIllinois | W42–19 | −25.5−25.5 | L | +0.42 | 61% | 44% | 90% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA +0.42 · SR 61% · O 53.5WE 90% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Iowaat Iowa | W31–14 | −14.5−14.5 | W | +0.62 | 51% | 33% | 84% | U 46 | — | |
EPA +0.62 · SR 51% · U 46WE 84% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   MarylandMaryland | W45–16 | −31.5−31.5 | L | +0.39 | 47% | 25% | 96% | O 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.39 · SR 47% · O 56.5WE 96% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Indianaat Indiana | W19–15 | −3−3 | W | +0.06 | 38% | 35% | 62% | U 49.5 | — | |
EPA +0.06 · SR 38% · U 49.5WE 62% | |||||||||||
| 8 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 9 |   at USCat USCNEXT | SAT 7:30 NBCSAT 7:30 | −6.5−6.5 | — | — | — | — | 73% | 53.5 | −10.2 | |
MODEL −10.2 · TOTAL 53.5WP 73% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   OregonOregon | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−13.4 | 79% | −13.4 | ||||||
MODEL −13.4WP 79% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   NorthwesternNorthwestern | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−15.4 | 82% | −15.4 | ||||||
MODEL −15.4WP 82% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Nebraskaat Nebraska | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−7.9 | 68% | −7.9 | ||||||
MODEL −7.9WP 68% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   MichiganMichigan | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−17.6 | 86% | −17.6 | ||||||
MODEL −17.6WP 86% | |||||||||||