Pac-12 · 5-2 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 6-1 · O/U 6-1
Oregon State Beavers
HC JaMarcus Shephard (1st yr) · OC Mitch Dahlen · DC Mike MacIntyre
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 98%
Power rating5.939th
CFP odds3%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.5of 11
Fan pulse—9 of 30 scored
Pac-12 · 5-2 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 6-1 · O/U 6-1
Oregon State
Beavers · HC JaMarcus Shephard (1st yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 6) · base D 4-3-4
Power rating5.939th
CFP odds · outlook3%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.5of 11
Fan pulse—9 of 30 scored
Oregon State
5-2 · 3-0 Pac-12
POWER RATING5.939th in FBS
CFP ODDS3%no change
PROJ. WINS7.5of 11 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 3% in sims · CCG 78% · title 38%
FAN PULSE—9 of 30 scored
RECORD5-2
ATS · O/U6-1 · 6-1
POSTGAME WE · AVG74%5.2 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1722nd FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Houstonat Houston | L20–33 | +21+21 | W | −0.14 | 41% | 47% | 23% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA −0.14 · SR 41% · O 50.5WE 23% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Texas TechTexas Tech | L24–35 | +25.5+25.5 | W | −0.06 | 30% | 42% | 26% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.06 · SR 30% · O 52.5WE 26% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   MontanaMontana | W52–17 | −17.5−17.5 | W | +0.87 | 51% | 26% | 99% | O 56 | — | |
EPA +0.87 · SR 51% · O 56WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at UTEPat UTEP | W33–7 | −11.5−11.5 | W | +0.71 | 58% | 30% | 96% | U 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.71 · SR 58% · U 56.5WE 96% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Colorado Stateat Colorado State | W56–26 | −7−7 | W | +0.58 | 76% | 53% | 94% | O 61.5 | — | |
EPA +0.58 · SR 76% · O 61.5WE 94% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   San Diego StateSan Diego State | W66–14 | −14.5−14.5 | W | +0.84 | 65% | 30% | 100% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.84 · SR 65% · O 52.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   Washington StateWashington State | W48–30 | −18.5−18.5 | L | +0.20 | 47% | 41% | 79% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.20 · SR 47% · O 52.5WE 79% | |||||||||||
| 8 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 9 |   at Fresno Stateat Fresno StateNEXT | SAT 11:00 USA NetworkSAT 11:00 | −6.5−6.5 | — | — | — | — | 60% | 56.5 | −4.4 | |
MODEL −4.4 · TOTAL 56.5WP 60% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   Texas StateTexas State | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−7.7 | 68% | −7.7 | ||||||
MODEL −7.7WP 68% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Boise Stateat Boise State | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+4.3 | 40% | +4.3 | ||||||
MODEL +4.3WP 40% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   Utah StateUtah State | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−16.3 | 84% | −16.3 | ||||||
MODEL −16.3WP 84% | |||||||||||