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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

MAC · 1-6 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 3-4

Sacramento State Hornets

HC Alonzo Carter (1st yr) · OC Eric Kiesau · DC Adam Clark

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 96%

Power rating−21.4138th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins2.1of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

MAC · 1-6 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 3-4

Sacramento State

Hornets · HC Alonzo Carter (1st yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 3-3-5

Power rating−21.4138th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins2.1of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Sacramento State

1-6 · 0-4 MAC

POWER RATING−21.4138th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS2.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

6 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored

Coverage →

RECORD1-6
ATS · O/U2-5 · 3-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG21%1.5 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.40138th FBS

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS

Sacramento State schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
WP · post / pre
O/U
Model
1at Eastern Michiganat Eastern MichiganL17–28+9.5+9.5L−0.1935%43%25%U 53—
EPA −0.19 · SR 35% · U 53WE 25%
1Mississippi Valley StateMississippi Valley StateW52–0−38.5−38.5W+0.6238%8%100%U 56.5—
EPA +0.62 · SR 38% · U 56.5WE 100%
2at Fresno Stateat Fresno StateL3–49+18+18L−0.8240%53%0%O 43.5—
EPA −0.82 · SR 40% · O 43.5WE 0%
3North Dakota StateNorth Dakota StateL10–31+25.5+25.5W−0.5237%32%13%U 50.5—
EPA −0.52 · SR 37% · U 50.5WE 13%
4MassachusettsMassachusettsL6–35+6+6L−0.5749%42%4%U 49.5—
EPA −0.57 · SR 49% · U 49.5WE 4%
5BYE
6at Bowling Greenat Bowling GreenL10–38+9.5+9.5L−0.4340%48%7%O 43.5—
EPA −0.43 · SR 40% · O 43.5WE 7%
7OhioOhioL7–48+17.5+17.5L−0.9124%56%0%O 46.5—
EPA −0.91 · SR 24% · O 46.5WE 0%
8at Ball Stateat Ball StateNEXTSAT 3:30 ESPN+SAT 3:30+14.5+14.5————26%51+10.8
MODEL +10.8 · TOTAL 51WP 26%
9Kent StateKent StateOCT 30OCT 30—+6.635%+6.6
MODEL +6.6WP 35%
10ToledoToledoNOV 4NOV 4—+22.78%+22.7
MODEL +22.7WP 8%
11at Central Michiganat Central MichiganNOV 11NOV 11—+14.120%+14.1
MODEL +14.1WP 20%
12BYE
13at Hawai'iat Hawai'iNOV 28NOV 28—+13.920%+13.9
MODEL +13.9WP 20%