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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Independents · 4-3 · 0-0 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4

UConn Huskies

HC Jason Candle (1st yr) · OC Nunzio Campanile · DC Ryan Manalac

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 93%

Power rating0.863rd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins6.7of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

Independents · 4-3 · 0-0 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4

UConn

Huskies · HC Jason Candle (1st yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 7) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating0.863rd
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins6.7of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

UConn

4-3 · 0-0 Independents

POWER RATING0.863rd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—3 of 30 scored

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

UConn schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1LafayetteLafayetteW56–7−20.5−20.5W+0.9651%14%100%7228.5
2MarylandMarylandL14–38+11.5+11.5L−0.4836%52%8%5229.1
3at Southern Missat Southern MissW48–20−3.5−3.5W+0.5151%36%94%7130.5
4at Miami (OH)at Miami (OH)L21–24+2.5+2.5L−0.0838%42%39%6027.2
5SyracuseSyracuseL41–42+6.5+6.5W−0.0341%51%51%7622.3
6at Templeat TempleW34–20+3.5+3.5W+0.3253%48%73%6228.4
7BYE
8MassachusettsMassachusettsW35–16−12.5−12.5W+0.4342%26%88%6532.5
9at Air Forceat Air ForceNEXTSAT 3:00 MW+SAT 3:00+0.1 proj+0.1————50%——
10North CarolinaNorth CarolinaNOV 7NOV 7−0.7 proj−0.752%
11James MadisonJames MadisonNOV 14NOV 14+5.8 proj+5.836%
12Old DominionOld DominionNOV 21NOV 21−10.5 proj−10.574%
13at Wyomingat WyomingNOV 28NOV 28−5.8 proj−5.864%

Success rate by down & distance

1st0%n 1100%n 345%n 16733%n 12
2nd65%n 2365%n 2339%n 6724%n 25
3rd73%n 1547%n 1537%n 2712%n 17
4th75%n 450%n 440%n 5—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 404 OF 408 PLAYS404 OF 408 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun93%93%48%+0.2043%
Under center7%7%27%+0.1760%
No-huddle91%91%47%+0.1844%
Huddle9%9%43%+0.3646%
StartersSTARTERS
116 of 7 games211 of 7BASE D4-2-57 of 7
116 of 74-2-5base D · 7 of 7

In shotgun on 93 % of tagged snaps, passing 48 % of the time (+0.20 EPA a play; +0.17 under center). No-huddle on 91 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 6 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (7 of 7).

Next game

SAT 3:00 MW+ · FALCON STADIUMSAT 3:00 MW+

at Air ForceLINE—MODEL+0.1WP50%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
ACC crews−0.2 to +0.7 · 31 games+0.2−0.2 to +0.731NOISE
American crews— · 5 games−0.2—5NOISE
C-USA crews— · 5 games−1.3—5NOISE
MAC crews— · 5 games+0.2—5NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 3 games−1.1—3NOISE
SEC crews— · 2 games−1.0—2NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 2 games+0.8—2NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 1 game−0.4—1NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 1 game−0.7—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTMike Roche−1.0 / g · 3 games · noise−1.0 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTNate Black+2.7 / g · 3 games · noise+2.7 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on UConn than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on UConn than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

UConn offense statistics
MetricStat
UConnCONN
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.1341st+0.06
Success rate41.5%75th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3910th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.1718th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.1743rd+0.11
Passing downs SR31.6%53rd31.1%
Line yards3.5819th3.21
Sack rate allowed9.0%128th5.3%
3rd-down conversion42%62nd41%
Points / opportunity4.5657th4.27
Red zone TD rate75%14th63%
Seconds / play27.656th28.0