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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Sun Belt · 0-6 · 0-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 4-2

UL Monroe Warhawks

HC Bryant Vincent (3rd yr) · OC Jesse Montalto · DC Troy Reffett

STARTS IN 01 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 99%

Power rating−15.5133rd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins1.6of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Sun Belt · 0-6 · 0-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 4-2

UL Monroe

Warhawks · HC Bryant Vincent (3rd yr) · starts in 01 (3 of 6) · base D 3-3-5

Power rating−15.5133rd
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins1.6of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

UL Monroe

0-6 · 0-2 Sun Belt

POWER RATING−15.5133rd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS1.6of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

6 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored

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UL MONROE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

UL Monroe schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at Mississippi Stateat Mississippi StateL13–62+28.5+28.5L−0.9228%60%0%6828.4
2at UABat UABL20–26+9.5+9.5W−0.1845%52%31%6227.8
3SE LouisianaSE LouisianaL35–38−10−10L+0.1051%45%45%8025.0
4Florida AtlanticFlorida AtlanticL17–45+11.5+11.5L−0.1932%51%8%5532.1
5at South Alabamaat South AlabamaL35–52+13.5+13.5L−0.3146%52%19%7025.3
6BYE
7Louisiana TechLouisiana TechL0–24+13.5+13.5L−0.4336%40%11%5425.4
8at Troyat TroyNEXTSAT 4:00 ESPN+SAT 4:00+12+12————22%135—
9Southern MissSouthern MissOCT 31OCT 31+3.7 proj+3.741%
10at Arkansas Stateat Arkansas StateNOV 7NOV 7+11.5 proj+11.524%
11LouisianaLouisianaNOV 12NOV 12+13.3 proj+13.321%
12at App Stateat App StateNOV 21NOV 21+16.7 proj+16.716%
13MarshallMarshallNOV 28NOV 28+5 proj+538%

Success rate by down & distance

1st100%n 3100%n 146%n 13240%n 5
2nd59%n 1738%n 2640%n 4521%n 14
3rd42%n 2447%n 1713%n 1618%n 11
4th71%n 733%n 30%n 2—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 319 OF 323 PLAYS319 OF 323 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun99%99%53%−0.0442%
Under center1%1%25%+2.2950%
No-huddle96%96%52%−0.0443%
Huddle4%4%64%+0.6321%
StartersSTARTERS
013 of 6 games112 of 6BASE D3-3-52 of 6
013 of 63-3-5base D · 2 of 6

In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 53 % of the time (−0.04 EPA a play; +2.29 under center). No-huddle on 96 %. Starts in 01 personnel in 3 of 6 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (2 of 6).

Next game

SAT 4:00 ESPN+ · VETERANS MEMORIAL STADIUM (AL)SAT 4:00 ESPN+

at TroyLINE+12MODEL+12.5WP22%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Zyan TremontDL · JR
DL · top injury
NEXT UPK. Wells
0%TO PLAY
−0.4IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.4 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
Sun Belt crews−0.3 to +0.6 · 42 games+0.1−0.3 to +0.642NOISE
SEC crews— · 6 games−0.1—6NOISE
ACC crews— · 1 game−1.2—1NOISE
American crews— · 1 game−3.3—1NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 1 game−0.1—1NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 1 game−2.3—1NOISE
C-USA crews— · 1 game−0.1—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTJeremy Parker−1.9 / g · 3 games · noise−1.9 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTBrandon Kirkland+2.7 / g · 4 games · noise+2.7 / g · 4 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on UL Monroe than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on UL Monroe than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

UL Monroe offense statistics
MetricStat
UL MonroeULM
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.04110th+0.06
Success rate39.9%98th42.3%
Explosiveness1.22122nd1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.01111th+0.07
Pass EPA / play−0.01117th+0.11
Passing downs SR29.1%108th31.1%
Line yards2.92113th3.21
Sack rate allowed5.3%81st5.3%
3rd-down conversion32%123rd41%
Points / opportunity3.8796th4.27
Red zone TD rate60%84th63%
Seconds / play27.556th28.0