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2026 · WK 8

Mountain West · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 2-5

UNLV Rebels

HC Dan Mullen (2nd yr) · OC Corey Dennis · DC Paul Guenther

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 96%

Power rating1.162nd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.4of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored

Mountain West · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 2-5

UNLV

Rebels · HC Dan Mullen (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 7) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating1.162nd
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.4of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored

UNLV

4-3 · 2-1 Mountain West

POWER RATING1.162nd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS7.4of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT

3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 30% · title 12%

FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored

Coverage →

RECORD4-3
ATS · O/U4-3 · 2-5
POSTGAME WE · AVG50%3.5 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.0163rd FBS

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS

UNLV schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
WP · post / pre
O/U
Model
1MemphisMemphisL21–27−5−5L−0.0535%46%37%U 55.5—
EPA −0.05 · SR 35% · U 55.5WE 37%
1at Hawai'iat Hawai'iW21–6−3−3W+0.2239%34%83%U 55.5—
EPA +0.22 · SR 39% · U 55.5WE 83%
2at North Texasat North TexasL6–44−3−3L−0.6433%47%1%U 58.5—
EPA −0.64 · SR 33% · U 58.5WE 1%
3BYE
4at Akronat AkronW38–10−13.5−13.5W+0.5749%41%94%U 53—
EPA +0.57 · SR 49% · U 53WE 94%
5CaliforniaCaliforniaW39–31−2−2W+0.1429%34%54%O 52.5—
EPA +0.14 · SR 29% · O 52.5WE 54%
6North Dakota StateNorth Dakota StateW13–7+3+3W+0.2138%34%57%U 47.5—
EPA +0.21 · SR 38% · U 47.5WE 57%
7at Air Forceat Air ForceL31–41+1.5+1.5L−0.2246%53%25%O 49.5—
EPA −0.22 · SR 46% · O 49.5WE 25%
8BYE
9Northern IllinoisNorthern IllinoisNEXTSAT 10:30 CBSSNSAT 10:30—−20.9————90%—−20.9
MODEL −20.9WP 90%
10WyomingWyomingNOV 7NOV 7—−11.175%−11.1
MODEL −11.1WP 75%
11at New Mexicoat New MexicoNOV 14NOV 14—+8.331%+8.3
MODEL +8.3WP 31%
12at San José Stateat San José StateNOV 21NOV 21—−8.169%−8.1
MODEL −8.1WP 69%
13NevadaNevadaNOV 28NOV 28—−1175%−11
MODEL −11WP 75%