Big Ten · #16 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 4-3
USC Trojans
HC Lincoln Riley (5th yr) · OC Luke Huard · DC Gary Patterson
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating9.521st
CFP odds8%+1
PLAYOFFIN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.3of 12
Fan pulse—5 of 30 scored
Big Ten · #16 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 4-3
USC
Trojans · HC Lincoln Riley (5th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating9.521st
CFP odds · outlook8%+1IN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.3of 12
Fan pulse—5 of 30 scored
USC
#16 · 6-1 · 3-1 Big Ten
POWER RATING9.521st in FBS
CFP ODDS8%+1 this week
PROJ. WINS8.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→LONG SHOT
1 loss now · CFP 8% in sims · CCG 7% · title 2%
FAN PULSE—5 of 30 scored
RECORD6-1
ATS · O/U2-5 · 4-3
POSTGAME WE · AVG71%4.9 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1430th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   San José StateSan José State | W42–26 | −37.5−37.5 | L | +0.65 | 70% | 31% | 88% | O 61 | — | |
EPA +0.65 · SR 70% · O 61WE 88% | |||||||||||
| 1 |   Fresno StateFresno State | W39–0 | −22−22 | W | +0.98 | 59% | 27% | 99% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.98 · SR 59% · U 51.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   LouisianaLouisiana | W49–30 | −31−31 | L | +0.21 | 54% | 31% | 83% | O 58.5 | — | |
EPA +0.21 · SR 54% · O 58.5WE 83% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Rutgersat Rutgers | W42–35 | −21−21 | L | +0.09 | 52% | 53% | 60% | O 59 | — | |
EPA +0.09 · SR 52% · O 59WE 60% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   OregonOregon | L27–41 | +3.5+3.5 | L | −0.24 | 43% | 45% | 21% | O 60.5 | — | |
EPA −0.24 · SR 43% · O 60.5WE 21% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   WashingtonWashington | W25–21 | −8.5−8.5 | L | +0.07 | 43% | 40% | 73% | U 58.5 | — | |
EPA +0.07 · SR 43% · U 58.5WE 73% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Penn Stateat Penn State | W31–23 | −1.5−1.5 | W | +0.31 | 51% | 38% | 71% | U 54.5 | — | |
EPA +0.31 · SR 51% · U 54.5WE 71% | |||||||||||
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Wisconsinat WisconsinNEXT | SAT 7:30 NBCSAT 7:30 | −3−3 | — | — | — | — | 54% | 50 | −1.7 | |
MODEL −1.7 · TOTAL 50WP 54% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Ohio StateOhio State | OCT 31OCT 31 | —+10.2 | 27% | +10.2 | ||||||
MODEL +10.2WP 27% | |||||||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   at Indianaat Indiana | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+9.9 | 27% | +9.9 | ||||||
MODEL +9.9WP 27% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   MarylandMaryland | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−16.3 | 84% | −16.3 | ||||||
MODEL −16.3WP 84% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at UCLAat UCLA | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+4.2 | 40% | +4.2 | ||||||
MODEL +4.2WP 40% | |||||||||||