Pac-12 · 2-4 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 1-5
Utah State Aggies
HC Bronco Mendenhall (2nd yr) · OC Robert Anae · DC Nick Howell
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 4) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 91%
Pac-12 · 2-4 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 1-5
Utah State
Aggies · HC Bronco Mendenhall (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 4) · base D 3-3-5
Utah State
2-4 · 1-1 Pac-12
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 4% · title 1%
Latest from the beat
UTAH STATE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Idaho StateIdaho State | L17–29 | −15−15 | L | −0.07 | 42% | 37% | 23% | 88 | 21.0 | |
| 2 |   at Washingtonat Washington | L14–16 | +28.5+28.5 | W | −0.16 | 32% | 41% | 43% | 57 | 26.8 | |
| 3 |   at Utahat Utah | L0–33 | +26.5+26.5 | L | −0.67 | 24% | 44% | 1% | 54 | 26.9 | |
| 4 |   TroyTroy | W21–10 | −3−3 | W | +0.26 | 42% | 41% | 73% | 57 | 29.7 | |
| 5 |   at Boise Stateat Boise State | L18–37 | +19.5+19.5 | W | −0.31 | 32% | 45% | 12% | 57 | 28.2 | |
| 6 |   Washington StateWashington State | W17–16 | −4−4 | L | −0.01 | 29% | 28% | 53% | 59 | 24.0 | |
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Texas Stateat Texas StateNEXT | SAT 7:30 CBSSNSAT 7:30 | +13.5+13.5 | — | — | — | — | 24% | 138 | — | |
| 9 |   Colorado StateColorado State | OCT 31OCT 31 | −5.4 proj−5.4 | 63% | |||||||
| 10 |   Fresno StateFresno State | NOV 7NOV 7 | +3.7 proj+3.7 | 41% | |||||||
| 11 |   at San Diego Stateat San Diego State | NOV 14NOV 14 | +1.9 proj+1.9 | 45% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Oregon Stateat Oregon State | NOV 21NOV 21 | +16.3 proj+16.3 | 16% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 351 OF 352 PLAYS351 OF 352 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun91% | 91% | 56% | −0.14 | 34% |
| Under center9% | 9% | 27% | −0.19 | 42% |
| No-huddle87% | 87% | 54% | −0.15 | 35% |
| Huddle13% | 13% | 50% | −0.14 | 32% |
In shotgun on 91 % of tagged snaps, passing 56 % of the time (−0.14 EPA a play; −0.19 under center). No-huddle on 87 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 3 of 4 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (3 of 6).
Next game
SAT 7:30 CBSSN · BOBCAT STADIUM (TX)SAT 7:30 CBSSN
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain West crews−0.6 to +0.5 · 19 games | 0.0 | −0.6 to +0.5 | 19 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 4 games | +0.8 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 4 games | +0.2 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 2 games | −1.5 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | −0.3 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 1 game | +0.2 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 1 game | −2.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | +3.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Utah State than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 4 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 4 of 7 games · + = more on Utah State than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Utah StateUSU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | −0.13 | 135th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 35.0% | 134th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.30 | 63rd | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | −0.03 | 124th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | −0.11 | 136th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 29.8% | 95th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.00 | 100th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 9.0% | 130th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38% | 92nd | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 2.32 | 138th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 50% | 119th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 25.5 | 24th | 28.0 |