reportedThe Daily Evergreen sports desk@Ibrahim Daniel, Evergreen reporter
2dUnconfirmed tip on Pinnick’s status against Boise State on Saturday.
Caden Pinnick · QBUNCONFIRMED
Pac-12 · 1-6 · 0-3 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4
Washington State Cougars
HC Kirby Moore (1st yr) · OC Matt Miller · DC Trent Bray
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating−6.4102nd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins2.6of 11
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Pac-12 · 1-6 · 0-3 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4
Washington State
Cougars · HC Kirby Moore (1st yr) · starts in 12 (3 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−6.4102nd
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins2.6of 11
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Washington State
1-6 · 0-3 Pac-12
POWER RATING−6.4102nd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS2.6of 11 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
6 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
Latest from the beat
WASHINGTON STATE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Washingtonat Washington | L10–24 | +23.5+23.5 | W | −0.30 | 30% | 47% | 20% | 56 | 32.7 | |
| 2 |   at Kansas Stateat Kansas State | L7–34 | +18+18 | L | −0.51 | 27% | 48% | 6% | 52 | 29.9 | |
| 3 |   DuquesneDuquesne | W48–7 | −38.5−38.5 | W | +0.67 | 56% | 26% | 100% | 63 | 28.8 | |
| 4 |   ArizonaArizona | L24–34 | +12+12 | W | −0.21 | 33% | 46% | 26% | 70 | 23.1 | |
| 5 |   Fresno StateFresno State | L6–26 | −2.5−2.5 | L | −0.55 | 24% | 39% | 7% | 58 | 22.2 | |
| 6 |   at Utah Stateat Utah State | L16–17 | +4+4 | W | +0.01 | 28% | 29% | 48% | 68 | 32.7 | |
| 7 |   at Oregon Stateat Oregon State | L30–48 | +18.5+18.5 | W | −0.20 | 41% | 47% | 21% | 80 | 22.0 | |
| 8 |   Boise StateBoise StateNEXT | SAT 6:00 USA NetworkSAT 6:00 | +14.5+14.5 | — | — | — | — | 23% | 134 | — | |
| 9 |   at San Diego Stateat San Diego State | OCT 31OCT 31 | +1.2 proj+1.2 | 47% | |||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   Colorado StateColorado State | NOV 14NOV 14 | −6.2 proj−6.2 | 65% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Texas Stateat Texas State | NOV 21NOV 21 | +11.1 proj+11.1 | 25% |
Success rate by down & distance
1st50%n 2100%n 141%n 1636%n 16
2nd58%n 1957%n 2120%n 6623%n 26
3rd29%n 1446%n 2826%n 275%n 22
4th83%n 60%n 250%n 20%n 1
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 415 OF 416 PLAYS415 OF 416 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun99% | 99% | 57% | −0.10 | 34% |
| Under center1% | 1% | 33% | −0.15 | 33% |
| No-huddle28% | 28% | 58% | −0.29 | 27% |
| Huddle72% | 72% | 56% | −0.03 | 37% |
StartersSTARTERS
123 of 6 games101 of 6BASE D4-2-54 of 6
123 of 64-2-5base D · 4 of 6
In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 57 % of the time (−0.10 EPA a play; −0.15 under center). No-huddle on 28 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 3 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 6).
Next game
SAT 6:00 USA Network · GESA FIELDSAT 6:00 USA Network
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
D
Darrius ClemonsWR · SR
WR · top injuryNEXT UPC. NorthcroftΔ −0.12 EPA/play
25%TO PLAY
−0.4IMPACT PTS
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.4 PTS
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pac-12 crews−0.4 to +0.6 · 28 games | +0.1 | −0.4 to +0.6 | 28 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 3 games | −1.6 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 2 games | −0.8 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 2 games | +1.0 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 2 games | −0.1 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 1 game | +0.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 1 game | +0.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 1 game | +0.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTChris Wiggins−1.2 / g · 6 games · noise−1.2 / g · 6 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTFrancisco Villar+2.0 / g · 3 games · noise+2.0 / g · 3 g · noise
+ = more judgment flags on Washington State than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 8 games · + = more on Washington State than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
QB · #12 · RS-SOCaden Pinnick−0.18EPA/dropback · 141stCPOE−1.6aDOT7.6Sack %9.3%RB · #9 · RS-JRKirby Vorhees32.1%rush SR · 223rdYards per carry5.0Explosive rate5.7%Rush EPA−0.08WR · #8 · RS-JRBranden Ganashamoorthy1.52YPTPA · 158thTarget share23.8%EPA / target+0.25aDOT11.9EDGE · #6 · RS-SRLinus Zunk7havoc plays · 47thTFL7Sacks2.5Forced fumbles0
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Washington StateWSU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | −0.07 | 120th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 36.0% | 131st | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.25 | 106th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.02 | 106th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | −0.03 | 125th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 25.0% | 137th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 2.98 | 102nd | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 8.1% | 122nd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 30% | 132nd | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.04 | 82nd | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 60% | 84th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 26.6 | 42nd | 28.0 |