Friday
0 LIVE5 FINAL0 UPCOMING4:41 AM ETFriday
OCT 23 · 4:41 AM ET
Model today1–4ATS · edges 1–2Duke +2.5 covered by 5.5
Biggest WP swing94ptsArmy from 6% in Q4 to win
Upsets3of 5 finalLargest: Stanford +7.5 over NC State
Totals2–3overAvg points vs total +0.9
StatusMatchupPtsSpreadTotalWin prob
FINALCBSSN
Massachusetts4-4
UConn4-31635
CONN −12.5COVER +6.5
53.5UNDER −2.5
CONN 100
PRE 70 · POSTGAME 88−0.12+0.15
Osborne incomplete to Porter, broken up by Reed, turnover on downs8:21 Q2 · −0.07 WPA
FINALESPN
Duke5-2UPSET
Virginia4-41916
DUKE +2.5COVER +5.5
47.5UNDER −12.5
DUKE 100
LOW 23 Q4 · POSTGAME 60−0.09−0.11
Model edge hit · DUKE +0.2 vs +2.5RECAP · 5 KEY PLAYS · BOX
FINALESPN2
Army5-2
Tulsa4-43835
ARMY −1.5COVER +1.5
53.5OVER +19.5
ARMY 100
LOW 6 Q4+0.13+0.31
Hellums 16-yd run0:06 Q4 · +0.27 WPA
FINALCW
Air Force5-2
Wyoming5-3UPSET1428
WYO +7COVER +21
46.5UNDER −4.5
WYO 100
LOW 32 Q1 · POSTGAME 78+0.06+0.47
Illegal Formation on AFA14:21 Q2 · −0.18 WPA
FINALESPN
NC State3-4
Stanford4-4UPSET2831
STAN +7.5COVER +10.5
54.5OVER +4.5
STAN 100
LOW 24 Q2 · POSTGAME 40+0.25+0.33
Bailey 58-yd TD to Desinor2:12 Q1 · +0.22 WPA
ALL 5 GAMES SHOWNBack to top ↑WP MODEL wp-v1
Status · MatchupEPA / playPts
FINALCBSSNCONN −12.5COVER +6.553.5UNDER −2.5
Massachusetts4-4−0.1216UConn4-3+0.1535CONN 100PRE 70 · POSTGAME 88
Osborne incomplete to Porter, broken up by Reed, turnover on downs8:21 Q2 · −0.07 WPA
FINALESPNDUKE +2.5COVER +5.547.5UNDER −12.5
Duke5-2UPSET−0.0919Virginia4-4−0.1116DUKE 100LOW 23 Q4 · POSTGAME 60
Model edge hit · DUKE +0.2 vs +2.5RECAP · 5 KEY PLAYS · BOX
FINALESPN2ARMY −1.5COVER +1.553.5OVER +19.5
Army5-2+0.1338Tulsa4-4+0.3135ARMY 100LOW 6 Q4
Hellums 16-yd run0:06 Q4 · +0.27 WPA
FINALCWWYO +7COVER +2146.5UNDER −4.5
Air Force5-2+0.0614Wyoming5-3UPSET+0.4728WYO 100LOW 32 Q1 · POSTGAME 78
Illegal Formation on AFA14:21 Q2 · −0.18 WPA
FINALESPNSTAN +7.5COVER +10.554.5OVER +4.5
NC State3-4+0.2528Stanford4-4UPSET+0.3331STAN 100LOW 24 Q2 · POSTGAME 40
Bailey 58-yd TD to Desinor2:12 Q1 · +0.22 WPA