- Spread
- LT −13.5
- Open −9 · −110
- Total
- 45
- Open 45.5 · o −110
- Model line
- LT −10.7+2.8
- Model total 43.1
- Win probability
- 74%
- Projected score
- 16.2 – 26.9
- ODU – LT
- Projected plays
- 126
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- LT −13.5
- open −9
- Model
- −10.7+2.8
- LT
- Total
- 45
- model 43.1
Where the model sees the game
EPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED · GARBAGE TIME OUTEPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED
| Unit vs defense | Offense gainsOff | Defense allowsDef | Plays | Model impactImpact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
  Old Dominion passvs Louisiana Tech pass Dvs LT pass DBIGGEST EDGE | 133rd−0.19 | 43rd−0.05 | 27 | LT +9.4 |
| Old Dominion runvs Louisiana Tech run Dvs LT run D | 133rd−0.14 | 53rd−0.03 | 36 | LT +8.5 |
  Louisiana Tech passvs Old Dominion pass Dvs ODU pass D | 75th−0.02 | 47th−0.04 | 32 | ODU +2.9 |
PaceODU 26.8 s · LT 25.5 s a snap · avg 131 plays126 plays vs 131 avg | — | — | 126 | U 2.0 |
| Louisiana Tech runvs Old Dominion run Dvs ODU run D | 41st+0.05 | 38th−0.05 | 31 | ODU +0.4 |
BIGGEST EDGE · LT +9.4
The Louisiana Tech pass defense vs Old Dominion's passing game
Old Dominion gains −0.07 EPA a play on the pass (133rd); Louisiana Tech allows +0.06 (43rd). About 27 such plays projected. OFFENSE / DEFENSE columns are EPA a play above the FBS mean; negative defense is stingier.
OFF = EPA/play gained above the FBS mean, DEF = allowed above it (negative is stingier). Impact = model points.
When Louisiana Tech has the ball
- +0.0666thEPA / play31st−0.01
- 40.3%90thSuccess rate34th39.6%
- 1.3722ndExplosiveness47th1.28
- +0.1241stRush EPA / play38th+0.02
- +0.0975thPass EPA / dropback47th+0.07
- 44.7%111thStandard downs SR37th45.5%
- 32.0%44thPassing downs SR36th29.4%
- 2.82125thLine yards51st2.95
- 15.9%117thHavoc rate66th14.5%
- 3.8895thPoints / opportunity61st3.95
- +0.1157thEarly-down EPA / play41st−0.02
- 39.1%80th3rd-down conversion7th28.4%
- 19.0%110thStuff rate39th18.8%
- 5.5%88thSack rate85th5.0%
- 62%78thRed zone TD rate11th45%
Old Dominion's defense rates higher in 14 of 15. Widest gap: standard-downs success rate (111th vs 37th).
When Old Dominion has the ball
- −0.18137thEPA / play33rd−0.01
- 32.6%138thSuccess rate25th38.6%
- 1.3533rdExplosiveness124th1.38
- −0.07133rdRush EPA / play53rd+0.04
- −0.07133rdPass EPA / dropback43rd+0.06
- 36.0%138thStandard downs SR27th44.1%
- 30.0%88thPassing downs SR54th30.2%
- 2.64131stLine yards15th2.71
- 23.1%138thHavoc rate9th18.8%
- 3.11128thPoints / opportunity87th4.19
- −0.18137thEarly-down EPA / play33rd−0.05
- 31.8%126th3rd-down conversion71st38.8%
- 27.1%138thStuff rate19th21.9%
- 13.6%137thSack rate21st7.6%
- 50%119thRed zone TD rate24th47%
Louisiana Tech's defense rates higher in 14 of 15. Widest gap: havoc rate (138th vs 9th).
Tempo & tendencies
SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE
| Metric | ODUODU | LTLT | FBS avgFBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral | 26.8 | 25.5 | 28.9 |
| Plays per gamePlays per game | 61.4 | 64.2 | 65.7 |
| Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral | 37.4% | 55.9% | 47.9% |
| Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS | −14.5% | +7.6% | −1.9% |
| Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral | 35.6% | 54.9% | 44.6% |
| 4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations | 14% | 28% | 27% |
| Time of possessionTime of possession | 26:37 | 28:50 | 30:11 |
| Avg starting field positionAvg starting field position | Own 27.7 | Own 33.5 | Own 29.8 |
Neutral = WP 20–80%