Sun Belt · 4-2 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 5-1
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
HC Sonny Cumbie (5th yr) · OC Nathan Young · DC Luke Olson
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 97%
Sun Belt · 4-2 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 5-1
Louisiana Tech
Bulldogs · HC Sonny Cumbie (5th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 3-3-5
Louisiana Tech
4-2 · 2-0 Sun Belt
2 losses now · CFP 1% in sims · CCG 59% · title 22%
Latest from the beat
LOUISIANA TECH · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Northwestern StateNorthwestern State | W80–6 | −44.5−44.5 | W | +1.71 | 62% | 13% | 100% | 56 | 41.4 | |
| 2 |   at LSUat LSU | L14–45 | +35+35 | W | −0.90 | 6% | 39% | 10% | 55 | 27.0 | |
| 3 |   at Baylorat Baylor | L19–36 | +20.5+20.5 | W | −0.16 | 30% | 38% | 16% | 78 | 24.9 | |
| 4 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 5 |   ArmyArmy | W31–29 | −0.5−0.5 | W | +0.15 | 51% | 47% | 45% | 55 | 16.0 | |
| 6 |   LouisianaLouisiana | W32–31 | −3−3 | L | +0.11 | 53% | 35% | 58% | 76 | 26.1 | |
| 7 |   at UL Monroeat UL Monroe | W24–0 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.43 | 40% | 36% | 89% | 65 | 31.1 | |
| 8 |   Old DominionOld DominionNEXT | SAT 5:00 ESPN+SAT 5:00 | −13.5−13.5 | — | — | — | — | 74% | 126 | — | |
| 9 |   at South Alabamaat South Alabama | OCT 31OCT 31 | −3.9 proj−3.9 | 59% | |||||||
| 10 |   at Troyat Troy | NOV 7NOV 7 | −4.6 proj−4.6 | 61% | |||||||
| 11 |   Southern MissSouthern Miss | NOV 14NOV 14 | −13.4 proj−13.4 | 79% | |||||||
| 12 |   Arkansas StateArkansas State | NOV 21NOV 21 | −9.7 proj−9.7 | 72% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Georgia Southernat Georgia Southern | NOV 28NOV 28 | +1.3 proj+1.3 | 47% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 316 OF 321 PLAYS316 OF 321 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun97% | 97% | 50% | +0.03 | 40% |
| Under center3% | 3% | 55% | +0.32 | 55% |
| No-huddle53% | 53% | 53% | −0.20 | 31% |
| Huddle47% | 47% | 48% | +0.31 | 50% |
In shotgun on 97 % of tagged snaps, passing 50 % of the time (+0.03 EPA a play; +0.32 under center). No-huddle on 53 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 6 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (5 of 6).
Next game
SAT 5:00 ESPN+ · JOE AILLET STADIUMSAT 5:00 ESPN+
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C-USA crews−0.4 to +0.5 · 37 games | +0.1 | −0.4 to +0.5 | 37 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 6 games | 0.0 | — | 6 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 4 games | −0.3 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 2 games | −0.8 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | −0.7 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 1 game | −3.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 1 game | +0.3 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 1 game | +1.2 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 1 game | −2.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Louisiana Tech than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Louisiana Tech than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Louisiana TechLT | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.06 | 64th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 40.3% | 89th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.37 | 22nd | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.12 | 40th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.10 | 75th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 32.1% | 46th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 2.82 | 125th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.5% | 88th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39% | 80th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.88 | 95th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 62% | 78th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 27.1 | 49th | 28.0 |