Sun Belt · 4-2 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 5-1
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
HC Sonny Cumbie (5th yr) · OC Nathan Young · DC Luke Olson
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 97%
Power rating0.864th
CFP odds1%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.9of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Sun Belt · 4-2 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 5-1
Louisiana Tech
Bulldogs · HC Sonny Cumbie (5th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 3-3-5
Power rating0.864th
CFP odds · outlook1%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.9of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Louisiana Tech
4-2 · 2-0 Sun Belt
POWER RATING0.864th in FBS
CFP ODDS1%no change
PROJ. WINS7.9of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 1% in sims · CCG 59% · title 22%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
RECORD4-2
ATS · O/U5-1 · 5-1
POSTGAME WE · AVG53%3.2 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.0743rd FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Northwestern StateNorthwestern State | W80–6 | −44.5−44.5 | W | +1.71 | 62% | 13% | 100% | O 56.5 | — | |
EPA +1.71 · SR 62% · O 56.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at LSUat LSU | L14–45 | +35+35 | W | −0.90 | 6% | 39% | 10% | O 55 | — | |
EPA −0.90 · SR 6% · O 55WE 10% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Baylorat Baylor | L19–36 | +20.5+20.5 | W | −0.16 | 30% | 38% | 16% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA −0.16 · SR 30% · O 50.5WE 16% | |||||||||||
| 4 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 5 |   ArmyArmy | W31–29 | −0.5−0.5 | W | +0.15 | 51% | 47% | 45% | O 47 | — | |
EPA +0.15 · SR 51% · O 47WE 45% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   LouisianaLouisiana | W32–31 | −3−3 | L | +0.11 | 53% | 35% | 58% | O 48.5 | — | |
EPA +0.11 · SR 53% · O 48.5WE 58% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at UL Monroeat UL Monroe | W24–0 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.43 | 40% | 36% | 89% | U 55.5 | — | |
EPA +0.43 · SR 40% · U 55.5WE 89% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   Old DominionOld DominionNEXT | SAT 5:00 ESPN+SAT 5:00 | −13.5−13.5 | — | — | — | — | 74% | 45 | −10.7 | |
MODEL −10.7 · TOTAL 45WP 74% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at South Alabamaat South Alabama | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−3.9 | 59% | −3.9 | ||||||
MODEL −3.9WP 59% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Troyat Troy | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−4.6 | 61% | −4.6 | ||||||
MODEL −4.6WP 61% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   Southern MissSouthern Miss | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−13.4 | 79% | −13.4 | ||||||
MODEL −13.4WP 79% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   Arkansas StateArkansas State | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−9.7 | 72% | −9.7 | ||||||
MODEL −9.7WP 72% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Georgia Southernat Georgia Southern | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+1.3 | 47% | +1.3 | ||||||
MODEL +1.3WP 47% | |||||||||||