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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Sun Belt · 2-5 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 1-6 · O/U 3-4

Old Dominion Monarchs

HC Ricky Rahne (7th yr) · OC Kody Cook · DC Blake Seiler

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 5) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating−7.1110th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.2of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored

Sun Belt · 2-5 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 1-6 · O/U 3-4

Old Dominion

Monarchs · HC Ricky Rahne (7th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 5) · base D 3-3-5

Power rating−7.1110th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.2of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored

Old Dominion

2-5 · 1-3 Sun Belt

POWER RATING−7.1110th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.2of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

5 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Old Dominion schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1Norfolk StateNorfolk StateW31–10−41.5−41.5L+0.4244%25%88%5243.3
2at Virginia Techat Virginia TechL21–44+18+18L−0.2832%41%31%5024.8
3East CarolinaEast CarolinaL17–20−2.5−2.5L+0.0227%28%46%63—
4James MadisonJames MadisonL20–46+7+7L−0.4224%41%6%6728.3
5at Georgia Stateat Georgia StateL10–42+2+2L−0.8724%58%4%6321.7
6at App Stateat App StateW10–3+8.5+8.5W+0.3034%26%65%7928.5
7Georgia SouthernGeorgia SouthernL15–23+3+3L−0.3332%47%30%5622.1
8at Louisiana Techat Louisiana TechNEXTSAT 5:00 ESPN+SAT 5:00+13.5+13.5————26%126—
9MarshallMarshallOCT 31OCT 31−3.7 proj−3.759%
10at Coastal Carolinaat Coastal CarolinaNOV 7NOV 7+3 proj+343%
11BYE
12at UConnat UConnNOV 21NOV 21+9.1 proj+9.129%
13Southern MissSouthern MissNOV 28NOV 28−5 proj−562%

Success rate by down & distance

1st33%n 30%n 233%n 1430%n 8
2nd23%n 1336%n 2234%n 6228%n 32
3rd39%n 2347%n 1927%n 2219%n 21
4th0%n 40%n 2—n 0—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 373 OF 376 PLAYS373 OF 376 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun100%100%43%−0.2331%
Under center0%0%0%−3.790%
No-huddle89%89%45%−0.2729%
Huddle11%11%27%+0.0844%
StartersSTARTERS
115 of 5 gamesBASE D3-3-55 of 5
115 of 53-3-5base D · 5 of 5

In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 43 % of the time (−0.23 EPA a play; −3.79 under center). No-huddle on 89 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 5 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (5 of 5).

Next game

SAT 5:00 ESPN+ · JOE AILLET STADIUMSAT 5:00 ESPN+

at Louisiana TechLINE+13.5MODEL+10.7WP26%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Quinn HenicleQB · SO
QB · top injury
NEXT UPR. HuffΔ −0.10 EPA/play
0%TO PLAY
−2.9IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −2.9 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
Sun Belt crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 38 games0.0−0.5 to +0.438NOISE
C-USA crews— · 3 games−0.6—3NOISE
American crews— · 2 games+2.0—2NOISE
ACC crews— · 1 game−2.4—1NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 1 game−0.8—1NOISE
MAC crews— · 1 game+2.0—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTTed Pitts−1.9 / g · 4 games · noise−1.9 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTWayne Winkler+1.4 / g · 3 games · noise+1.4 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Old Dominion than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 5 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 5 of 8 games · + = more on Old Dominion than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Old Dominion offense statistics
MetricStat
Old DominionODU
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.18137th+0.06
Success rate32.6%138th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3533rd1.30
Rush EPA / play−0.07133rd+0.07
Pass EPA / play−0.07132nd+0.11
Passing downs SR30.1%88th31.1%
Line yards2.64131st3.21
Sack rate allowed13.6%137th5.3%
3rd-down conversion32%126th41%
Points / opportunity3.11128th4.27
Red zone TD rate50%119th63%
Seconds / play25.120th28.0